PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Prediction: Keep Fading Amsterdam

  • PSV Eindhoven vs AFC Amsterdam, Eredivisie
  • October 29, 2023
  • 9:30 AM EST
  • Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, Netherlands
  • ESPN+

PSV Eindhoven faces off against rival Ajax Amsterdam in what should be an interesting affair. PSV has won all 9 of their matches so far to put them clearly atop the Eredivisie, the Netherlands’ top flight in soccer. Ajax, on the other hand, is on a free fall to the bottom of the table. Read on to access betting odds, stats on recent Ajax fixtures and results, and a free PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax prediction from our expert.

PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Prediction: Who do Sportsbook Favor?

PSV Eindhoven is a rightful large favorite for Sunday’s rivalry match. The club is currently lined at (-226) to win, for an implied probability of 69.3%. AFC Ajax are (+520) underdogs, a number that could quite possibly be their lowest-ever price in the club’s history. A draw would cash out at (+410), listed on highly-rated online sportsbook MyBookie.

EredivisieBovadaMyBookie ReviewXBet Review
PSV Eindhoven-235-226-229
Ajax+500+520+510
Draw+390+410+400

To better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market, see our soccer betting tips and learn to make soccer bets online.

AFC Ajax Fixtures and Results

Recently, Ajax faced a major crisis when they suffered a 4-0 defeat against Feyenoord, prompting frustrated fans to throw flares onto the pitch and leading to the suspension of the match. Following this, the team continued their losing streak as Feyenoord scored another goal in a behind-closed-doors game. Police were even called to the scene and used tear gas on the dissidents.

Amidst this turmoil, Ajax chairman Pier Eringa and director of soccer Sven Mislintat resigned due to intense fan criticism. Manager Maurice Steijn was sacked after Ajax lost to Eredivisie’s worst FC Uhtrecht, despite almost completing a comeback. He will be replaced by assistant coach Hedwiges Maduro. Currently, the team finds itself in the relegation zone, marking its worst start since the mid-1960s.

To regain their former glory, Louis van Gaal is offering guidance in his advisory role. Van Gaal, known for his tenure at Manchester United, aims to lead Ajax back to greatness, drawing inspiration from the club’s 1995 Champions League victory during his previous stint.

While the reasons behind Ajax’s struggles are complex, some speculate that the departure of star midfielder Mohammed Kudus, who played a vital role as an attacking midfielder and was sold in August, might have impacted the team. Since his departure, Ajax hasn’t secured a victory, and fans hope for a turnaround to ease their concerns.

AjaxTo Defeat PSV Eindhoven
★★★★☆
+520
Bet now

PSV Eindhoven History and Remarkable 2023 Start

PSV Eindhoven is one of the most successful clubs to ever compete in the Netherlands. The team has earned qualification for European cup tournaments for 50 straight years and have won the Eredivisie on 24 separate occasions. It has also been a “stepping stone” for future stars, helping progress the development of notable soccer figures such as Ronaldo, Arjen Robben, and Memphis Depay.

Despite their 9-match winning streak to begin their Eredivisie campaign, PSV Eindhoven still find themselves in a tight 3-horse race for the title. AZ Alkmaar and Feyenoord are close behind with 25 and 23 points, respectively. When you throw in FC Twente and their 22 points, a massive skill valley is apparent in the Eredivisie. 4 teams have only one loss between them, and a 8-point gap separates the 4th-placed Twente with the 5th-placed Go Ahead Eagles.

PSV’s leap to success may come as a surprise to some pundits and devout soccer followers. The club finished second behind Feyenoord last season, but the club’s manager Ruud van Nistelrooy resigned with just one game remaining in the campaign. The disgruntled boss may have been pushed to leave after alleged locker room unrest and constant disputes between coaches and players.

Various knocks have kept many PSV starters out of the lineup in recent matches, including Malik Tillman, Noa Lang, and Isaac Babadi. However, the trio should be eligible for selection come Sunday. Additionally, PSV may be getting back key defensive players Mauro Junior and Armando Obispo, who are both recovering from knee injuries.

PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Prediction and Free Betting Pick

I see no other option than to fade Ajax yet again in this spot. PSV Eindhoven is on top of the world and has all the advantages of a home team. This fixture is a rivalry match, and PSV will be eager to get one back on what has been a dominant Dutch club.

Expect this price to rise even further as the week rolls on. Bettors will be trigger-happy to fade Ajax after the latest news regarding the managerial sacking and their streak of poor performances. This will be a popular bet, something I don’t typically advise when betting soccer, as contrarian plays usually are more profitable in the long run. But PSV’s moneyline should be closer to the (-300) range than (-200), and I don’t see Ajax shaking off their woes against a club as confident as PSV.

Stick with the gut feeling and trust in PSV to win their 10th straight match at anything better than (-250). There will be opportunities in the future to hop back on the Ajax train, but for now, steer clear.

PSV EindhovenTo Defeat Ajax
★★★★☆
-226
Bet now

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Will Chace

From Boston, Will's passion for sports is more of a hereditary characteristic than a learned hobby. Besides rooting for his hometown teams, he follows MMA heavily and will consume just about any sports-related content. In college, Will combined his passion for sports and writing as a journalist. Now, he provides detailed betting analysis to help others profit off their sports knowledge too. Will spots insights casual fans may miss and delivers his guidance in a direct, no-nonsense style. In his downtime, you can find him unwinding on the couch and watching foreign film classics.