New York City vs New England MLS Odds: Total is Too Low

The New England Revolution travels to the Big Apple for a clash with New York City FC on Saturday. Yankee Stadium will be the setting of the 26th encounter between these two clubs, who are both now sitting at the bottom of the table in the Eastern Conference. Can one side rise to the occasion and earn their 2nd win in Matchweek 8 of the 2024 MLS season? Read on for an analysis of New York City vs New England MLS odds and learn about MLS betting with expert tips for 2024.

  • New York City FC vs New England Revolution
  • Major League Soccer
  • April 13, 2024
  • 7:30 PM EST
  • Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
  • MLS Season Pass

New York City vs New England MLS Odds

New York City is an odds-on favorite at home this Saturday, holding a line of (-130). The New England Revolution (+385) will hope to spoil the day in the big city as big underdogs. A draw is listed at (+295). 

Major League SoccerBetOnline ReviewBetUS ReviewBovadaXBet ReviewMyBookie Review
New York City-136-130-130-145-145
New England+385+340+340+375+375

Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? See our soccer betting tips and learn about 2024 MLS betting sites.

New York City FC Stats and Recent Games

New York City’s 2024 campaign to date can be summarized in one word: lackluster. While their defense has been decent, the Pigeons have yet to score on the road. These three shutouts have all resulted in losses, leaving NYCFC assuredly glad to be back in the big city.

At this juncture, the scene in New York City bears a haunting resemblance to the previous year’s narrative. The recurring struggle to maintain leads contributed to their second-ever playoff miss last season. Unfortunately, this trend persists for Nick Cushing’s squad, as evidenced by their loss of five points after leading in the second half.

With four matches left in their ongoing homestand, the Boys in Blue make their return to the Bronx this weekend, where their sole league victory this season occurred. The noted victory was against Northern rivals Toronto FC by a score of 2-1.

Despite their formidable record at Yankee Stadium, with only two regular-season losses since May 2022, the home side has clinched victory in only two of their last eight matchups in this arena. It’s been over a year since they last secured consecutive home MLS victories, a feat last achieved in March 2023.

New York CityTo Win
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New England Revolution Struggling to Begin Season

The Revolution were demolished by Club America on Tuesday in the CONCACAF Champions Cup 5-2. A brace from Giacomo Vrioni offered the solitary source of scoring for New England, whose 9-2 aggregate defeat will be a result to forget. The Revolution faithful have yet to see much success on the domestic level either. New England has accrued just 4 points through their first 6 MLS games.

A 1-0 win over Charlotte at Gillette Stadium was their first victory in this campaign, as well as their first shutout. It will be difficult to prevent a crooked number from appearing next to New York City’s name on the scoreboard on Saturday however. The hosts have scored in all of their home games so far this season. 

The upcoming trip to the Bronx marks the start of a series of away fixtures for the Revs, who are scheduled to play four of their next five league matches on the road. This includes visits to Toronto FC, Chicago Fire FC, and the New York Red Bulls within a month’s time.

6 matches have been played in this fixture since 2021 and the spoils are almost evenly split. New York City has taken 2 of the 6, with 3 draws in between the two. Last year, both contests were draws at 1-1 and 0-0 respectively. 

New EnglandTo Win
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New York City vs New England Prediction and Free MLS Odds Pick

From what I’ve seen through the first six weeks of the MLS season, I don’t have much faith in either side. The Revolution appear to have taken a massive step back since their 5th place finish in the Eastern Conference last season as they are now dead last in the table. The disappointing start may in part be blamed on Caleb Porter, the Revolution’s new manager who was hired in the offseason after Bruce Arena’s unceremonious exit. 

Then there is New York City, who have seemingly not improved since missing the playoffs last year. Striker Mounsef Bakrar has been missing in action so far, going scoreless in his first six starts. The states of these clubs, especially their leaky defenses, lead me to a bet in the total market.

Although the last 3 matches for New York City have gone under 2.5 total goals, there is reason to believe those were anomalies so to speak. Their match against Atlanta United, even without Georgios Giakoumakis, accrued 4.34 total expected goals. Their Inter Miami fixture also resulted in 3.64 expected goals, even with Inter Miami still having to manage without Leo Messi.

New England is always a high-scoring team, which leads me to believe a near pick-em on the 2.5 total goals is far too low. What gives me caution is the lack of rest for New England. Therefore, give me the over here for just a half unit.

Over 2.5Total Goals
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Will Chace

From Boston, Will's passion for sports is more of a hereditary characteristic than a learned hobby. Besides rooting for his hometown teams, he follows MMA heavily and will consume just about any sports-related content. In college, Will combined his passion for sports and writing as a journalist. Now, he provides detailed betting analysis to help others profit off their sports knowledge too. Will spots insights casual fans may miss and delivers his guidance in a direct, no-nonsense style. In his downtime, you can find him unwinding on the couch and watching foreign film classics.