Tottenham vs Manchester City Prediction: Goals Galore

Tottenham hosts Manchester City in FA Cup 4th Round action amidst their slow descent from the top of the Premier League. Manchester City are favorites despite playing away from Etihad Stadium, a testament to their typically strong run of form in the latter half of the season. Spurs are fresh off a 2-2 draw at Old Trafford, while Manchester City are one game removed from a heroic 3-2 comeback win over Newcastle at St. James’ Park. Continue reading to access an expert Tottenham vs Manchester City prediction and explore stats and the latest Manchester City odds.

  • Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Manchester City FC, FA Cup 4th Round
  • January 26, 2024
  • 3 PM EST
  • Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
  • ESPN+

Tottenham vs Manchester City Prediction: Who do Sportsbooks Favor?

Manchester City are (-165) favorites in this draw despite playing at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Tottenham have their work cut out for them as (+425) underdogs, a price that indicates just a 19% implied probability of winning. A draw, which would force a replay at Manchester City’s home grounds, is lined at (+350).

Premier LeagueBetOnline ReviewBetUS ReviewBovadaXBet ReviewBetNow Review
Tottenham+365+365+400+425+365
Manchester City-165-165-170-175-165
Draw+332+332+330+350+332

Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? See our soccer betting tips and learn about English Premier League betting odds.

Is Tottenham Manchester City’s Kryptonite?

Tottenham boasts an impressive track record in the FA Cup, securing six victories. Despite this success, the club has faced challenges in reaching the final since their last triumph in 1991. Their furthest advancement has been to the semi-finals, where they encountered defeats against Arsenal twice, Portsmouth, Manchester United, and Chelsea twice.

Tottenham is eager to break their 16-year trophy drought this season, facing the challenge of overcoming the reigning FA Cup champions, Manchester City. Despite the difficulty posed by City’s current six-match winning streak, Spurs have been a formidable opponent for them in recent years, winning five of the last nine meetings between the two teams. With a streak of four consecutive home victories, Tottenham has shown resilience, and earlier in the season, they managed to secure a 3-3 draw against Pep Guardiola’s side. 

Alejo Veliz, Ben Davies, Giovani Lo Celso, James Maddison, Manor Solomon, Dejan Kulusevski, and Ryan Sessegnon may be absent on Friday due to injuries. Additionally, Pape Sarr, Heung-Min Son, and Yves Bissouma are currently away on international duty.

TottenhamTo Defeat Manchester City
★★★★☆
+425
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Spurs Fly High with Postecoglou on the Byline

Under Ange Postecoglou’s guidance, Tottenham has undergone a revitalization, adopting an attack-minded style of football that has yielded positive outcomes. This is evident in their scoring record, as Tottenham has found the net in all 21 of their Premier League games this season. They possess the capability to pose a threat to Manchester City, who have only managed five clean sheets in 20 league matches this term.

However, Tottenham’s susceptibility to conceding goals is noteworthy, having let in at least one goal in 16 of their 21 top-flight outings this season. This vulnerability raises concerns as they prepare to face the star-studded City.

Remarkably, Tottenham’s dynamic and high-octane approach is reflected in the fact that a league-high 16 out of their 21 Premier League matches this season have featured both teams scoring, along with over two goals in the fixture.

Manchester City Injuries and Recent News

Although currently lagging behind the leaders by five points, the reigning Premier League champions have consistently showcased a propensity to enhance their performance during the latter part of the season. Entering the nation’s capital with an impressive streak, they have achieved eight victories and a draw in their last nine matches.

In the latest FA Cup encounter, Pep Guardiola’s squad lived up to expectations by securing a convincing victory against Huddersfield, a team facing relegation from the Championship. A notable highlight was the comeback of Kevin De Bruyne, who made a return after an extended period on the sidelines. Furthermore, the team celebrated Jeremy Doku’s recovery from injury. 

While the availability of Erling Haaland remains uncertain for the upcoming weekend, the return of the cherished duo, De Bruyne and Doku, leaves Manchester City in capable hands. Due to injuries, John Stones, Manuel Akanji, and Ederson Moraes are also unlikely to be unavailable for the 4th Round match against Tottenham.

Manchester CityTo Defeat Tottenham
★★★★★
-165
Bet now

Tottenham vs Manchester City Prediction and Free Betting Pick

This game has “high-scoring” written all over it. In 11 out of Tottenham’s last 13 matches, both teams have scored. Additionally, six of Manchester City’s recent eight games have witnessed over 3.5 goals. Furthermore, in three of the last four meetings between these teams, both teams scored, and the ball found the net on at least four occasions.

Ange Postecoglou’s attacking play style will certainly favor this total going over, along with Manchester City’s all-time offense led by the legendary Pep Guardiola. When Tottenham and Manchester City last met back on December 3rd, Friday’s opponents played out a thrilling 3-3 stalemate at the Etihad.

I like this total to go over 3 at (-130), however the line has already moved significantly. Being mindful of any potential lost value from that movement, I will recommend going just a half unit. Trust in these teams to play to their strengths and make this draw the most entertaining of the bunch in the 4th round of the FA Cup.

Over 3Total Goals
★★★★★
-130
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Will Chace

From Boston, Will's passion for sports is more of a hereditary characteristic than a learned hobby. Besides rooting for his hometown teams, he follows MMA heavily and will consume just about any sports-related content. In college, Will combined his passion for sports and writing as a journalist. Now, he provides detailed betting analysis to help others profit off their sports knowledge too. Will spots insights casual fans may miss and delivers his guidance in a direct, no-nonsense style. In his downtime, you can find him unwinding on the couch and watching foreign film classics.