Bournemouth vs Arsenal is set to be a grueling battle for both sides. Each team will be playing their third game in six days, with League Cup fixtures played this Wednesday. Bournemouth is looking to bounce back at home after a 3-1 away loss to Brighton. Meanwhile, the Gunners hope to continue their 12-game unbeaten streak across all competitions. Arsenal matches up to be a formidable road opponent for Bournemouth, but can the Southern club get their first victory this weekend? Read on to access English Premier League betting odds, key stats, and expert predictions.
- What: A.F.C. Bournemouth vs Arsenal F.C., English Premier League Matchday 7
- When: September 30, 2023
- Time: 10 AM EST
- Where: Vitality Stadium, Kings Park, Bournemouth, England
- TV: Peacock
Bournemouth vs Arsenal: Betting Odds from Top Sportsbooks
Arsenal’s trip to England’s South Coast is expected to be a successful one, according to the world’s best online sportsbooks. The Gunners are priced at (-190) to win the match vs Bournemouth. Conversely, the home club is priced in the 3-way moneyline market at (+475), for an implied probability of 17.4%. If the two teams cannot set each other apart, a draw would pay out at a cool (+385).
Bournemouth vs Arsenal Matches: Gunners Dominate H2H
The Bournemouth vs Arsenal fixture has been a one-sided affair to say the least. Arsenal has only lost once to the Cherries, back in 2018. In fact, Arsenal has won 11 of their 14 matches so far.
Bournemouth will try to leave these woes in the past as they host Arsenal fresh off a 2-0 win over Stoke City. Unfortunately, lead striker Dominic Solanke was injured after scoring as a substitute. The club has looked vulnerable at home, a troubling sign ahead of an Arsenal encounter, who have been dominant defensively outside of Emirates Stadium.
Conversely, the Gunners looked shaky in the third round of the EFL Cup. Arsenal relied on an early finish by Reiss Nelson to carry them to a 1-0 victory over their London counterparts. Additionally, the team withdrew star players Declan Rice (back) and Bukayo Saka (calf), both of whom may not be suiting up on Saturday.
Bournemouth Finally Getting Healthy Again?
While Bournemouth are just one place away from the feared relegation zone, the club does not give off a feeling of incompetence. The Cherries have managed draws against Chelsea, Brentford, and West Ham. While still without a victory, their losses have all come to top-4 sides. And all this has been achieved despite a slew of injuries, including Emiliano Marcondes (foot) and Ryan Fredericks (calf).
AFC Bournemouth appeared to go all in on their 2023-24 EPL campaign with nine signings this summer. Hamed Traorè comes from Serie A side Sassuolo, Justin Kluivert from Roma, Romain Faivre from Olympique Lyonnais, Milos Kerkez from AZ Alkmaar and Max Aarons from Norwich City, and Ionuț Radu is on loan from Inter Milan. Alex Scott (knee) and Tyler Adams (hamstring), have yet to debut for Bournemouth this season.
With a less busy infirmary and USMNT captain Tyler Adams finally in the mix, Bournemouth have a good chance to capitalize on this year’s investments and make some noise in England’s top football league.
Mikel Arteta Job Intact?
Ex-Arsenal player Mikel Arteta has consistently stirred controversy among Arsenal fans for several years. Despite enduring a series of underwhelming seasons, the current manager has managed to hold onto his job, and is now in the midst of an impressive streak of performances. Just two years ago, frustrated Arsenal supporters gathered around the manager’s car following a 2-0 loss to Chelsea, yet Arteta weathered that storm and remains in charge. While a shockingly lackluster performance against Bournemouth might not immediately put an end to the frequently trending #ArtetaOut posts, it can be assumed that the manager’s leash has been lengthened.
Best Bet and Prediction for Bournemouth vs Arsenal
With both clubs running on fumes, a sluggish pace with the potential for shake ups in the rotation is likely. This should result in a more competitive matchup, with potential for increased mistakes.
Arsenal has been one of the more fortunate teams in the league this season. Measuring “luck” through the expected goal differential (xGD) statistic, we can see that the Gunners have enjoyed an xGD of 0.90. On the other hand, luck has not gone the way of Bournemouth, with an xGD of -0.37. As bettors, we can deduce that Bournemouth’s results may look worse on paper than how they actually performed. The opposite can be said for Arsenal.
While it is highly likely that Arsenal secure points on this trip to Bournemouth, I can’t help but see value on the Bournemouth moneyline. This is a better squad than many recognize, and a home match against an exhausted Arsenal side could be the perfect recipe for an upset. Root for the Cherries to make a splash this weekend with an unlikely victory.
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