New Zealand to dominate Italy in convincing 2023 Rugby World Cup win

  • New Zealand is a 26.5-point favorite over Italy in Friday’s Pool A matchup
  • Fiji needs wins over Georgia and Portugal to advance to the quarter-finals
  • The 2023 Rugby World Cup is taking place in France from September 8 to October 28

Heading into the fourth week of the 2023 Rugby World Cup, many of the sports superpowers have already punched their ticket to the quarter-finals. However, Australia has been all but eliminated and the Argentinians will have to battle to advance out of Pool D.

Following a loss to France in the tournament opener, New Zealand must also defeat Italy on Friday to reach the knock-out stage. Before we examine the odds for this week’s fixtures, here’s where you can find the best Rugby World Cup Betting Odds and check out the top Rugby Betting Sites in 2023.

New Zealand vs Italy

New Zealand-26.5 (-110)-1000+4000
Italy+26.5 (-110)+1700+4000

All Blacks look to advance

New Zealand is a heavy 26.5-point favorite over Italy on Friday. While the Italians have the better record to this point, following wins over Uruguay and Namibia, they’ve never once beaten New Zealand. The All Blacks are 4-0 against Italy at the Rugby World Cup, scoring over 70 points in three of four matches. The Kiwis have also won all 15 Test matches versus gli Azzurri by an average margin of 51 points.

Blowouts have plagued the early fixtures of this tournament and this game should be no different. With a spot in the quarter-final on the line, Ian Foster’s club will cover the 26.5 points and advance to play Ireland.

More Group Play Fixtures

Uruguay-17.0 (-115)-1300+3300
Namibia+17.0 (-105)+725+3300
Japan+6.5 (-110)+178+2200
Samoa-6.5 (-110)-210+2200
Argentina-55.5 (-110)-10000+8000
Chile+55.5 (-110)+5000+8000
Fiji-15.5 (-110)-850+2800
Georgia+15.5 (-110)+550+2800

Uruguay vs Namibia

Namibia is a 17-point underdog to Uruguay on Wednesday – which probably doesn’t seem too bad at all to a Namibian club that lost their previous two games to Italy and New Zealand by a combined 112 points. Uruguay is also 0-2 in the tournament, but they played France relatively close (27-12) before losing to Italians by 21 points last Wednesday.

Stuck in loaded Pool A, the Uruguayans will take out their frustration against Namibia and pick up their first win of the competition in convincing fashion.

Uruguayto cover vs Namibia
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New Zealandto cover vs Italy
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Japan vs Samoa

Samoa is 6.5-point chalk against Japan this Thursday. Both teams head into the game with a 1-1 record and face an uphill battle to advance out of Pool D. The Japanese kept things close against England before allowing 21 unanswered points in a 34-12 loss, while Samoa came close to upsetting Argentina last Friday before falling 19-10.

Samoa is currently ranked as the 11th-best rugby nation just ahead of Japan’s No. 14 ranking. However, the Japanese defeated the Samoans easily in both the 2015 and 2019 World Cup. We like the Japan money line at +178. 

Argentina vs Chile

Argentina is a massive 55.5-point favorite over a Chilean squad that’s lost three games to England, Samoa and Japan by a combined 134 points. Los Pumas have captured all 39 matches all-time against their South American neighbors and should cover the massive spread this Saturday.

Fiji vs Georgia

Coming off a historic victory over Australia, Fiji is a 15.5-point favorite over Georgia. As long as they’re not upset by Georgia or Portugal over the next two weeks, they will advance to the quarter-finals to the delight of the 930,000 people on the small Pacific Island nation. We like the Fijians to cover the points. 

Fijito cover vs Georgia
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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.