Colombia vs Brazil: Hosts Can Make Things Interesting

Brazil looks to bounce back from a surprising shutout loss to Uruguay last month as they visit Colombia Thursday night. The Colombians will host Brazil in the midst of a 3-match drawing streak, including two scoreless games and a thrilling 2-2 draw to Uruguay. Do their mutual matches give away how this matchup will go down, or is there more to the story? Continue reading to access a Colombia vs Brazil prediction and explore the latest news on the 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL.

  • Colombia vs Brazil, 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualification (CONMEBOL)
  • November 16, 2023
  • 7 PM EST
  • Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla, Colombia
  • Fanatiz

Colombia vs Brazil Betting Odds

Colombia, down a point in the group to Brazil, will hope highly-rated online sportsbook BetOnline’s (+255) line for them to win proves incorrect. Brazil enter Barranquilla as decent favorites, with a price tag of (+130). This implies a winning probability for Brazil of 43.5%. That leaves the draw outcome available at a line of (+220). 

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To better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market, see our soccer betting tips and learn about 2026 World Cup betting odds.

2026 FIFA World Cup Qualification (CONMEBOL)

The 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers in South America serve as the gateway for CONMEBOL national teams to secure spots in the tournament. Setting the pace for qualification, this region initiated the process, now progressing through its 5th and 6th matchdays in a round-robin format, marking the end of the initial third of the schedule. Following this week’s matches, the teams will have a break from World Cup Qualifiers until the next autumn.

Currently 17th in the FIFA World Rankings, Colombia have high hopes of making it to their 7th World Cup. 2022 marked an absence for Los Cafeteros, who were hoping to make it 3 straight at the global stage. An expanded 48-team format will certainly improve their chances of returning to the World Cup in 2026. 

Brazil is widely known as the best nation to ever compete in soccer, winning a record 5 World Cups. They have never failed to make a presence in the World Cup, making them the only nation to do so. The Seleção also boasts the most exceptional World Cup track record, excelling in both proportional and absolute terms. They’ve secured 76 victories in 114 matches, with an outstanding goal difference of 129, 247 total points, and only 19 losses.

Colombia Due for a Win?

Colombia seem like they are on a mission to reverse their fortunes and prove to the world they belong with the best soccer nations in the world. Since missing out on the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, Colombia have gone unbeaten in the qualifying stage. Los Cafeteros kicked things off with a narrow 1-0 win over Venezuela before playing out to draws in the next three matches.

Colombia’s draw to Uruguay was not without drama. A 2-1 lead was lost in stoppage time after goalkeeper Camilo Vargas was sent off for a foul inside the box. Uruguay’s Darwin Nunez hammered home the equalizer to put a cap on the night, leaving Colombia heartbroken. A frustrating draw to Ecuador is the last we have seen this club, who now boast a 15-match unbeaten streak across all competitions. 

Colombia’s meeting with Brazil in Barranquilla will be their first with the Seleção in nearly two years. Los Cafeteros have had decent success against one of the best nations in the world, earning points in three out of their last seven matches.

Colombia’s right-back Santiago Arias has exited the national team squad due to injury. Consequently, his FC Cincinnati teammate Yerson Mosquera is anticipated to take over the right-back position in a four-man defense. Mateo Cassierra from Zenit St Petersburg has also withdrawn due to injury. However, Liverpool’s Luis Diaz received a call-up, arriving less than a week after his father’s release from Colombia’s ELN guerrilla group after 12 days in captivity. 

DrawColombia vs Brazil
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Brazil Showing Red Flags

Brazil’s loss to Uruguay was not only surprising to new fans, but old ones as well. Brazil had not dropped a game in qualifying in over 8 years, dating back to October 2015. This marked a 37-match unbeaten streak. Unfortunately, it was not the only loss of the night. Star player Neymar suffered a devastating injury, leaving the Seleção with a large gap to fill in the attack. 

Prior to Brazil’s heartbreaking night against Uruguay, they failed to gather the maximum points in a 1-1 draw to Venezuela. Despite playing on home soil, Brazil could only muster a goal from Gabriel Magalhaes. Interim head coach Fernando Diniz will be in charge of recovering from their minor setback and returning the Seleção to winning ways. Notably, Diniz led Fluminense to a Copa Libertadores trophy in early November.

Ederson’s departure from Brazil due to a foot injury adds to the list of sidelined players, including Neymar, Casemiro, Richarlison, and Eder Militao. Ederson had been the starting goalkeeper in Brazil’s last six international matches. However, with his absence, Alisson Becker is poised to take his place. And despite missing Arsenal’s last five matches due to a muscle problem, Gabriel Jesus has received a call-up, with his fitness to be evaluated before the game.

BrazilTo Defeat Colombia
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Colombia vs Brazil Prediction and Free Betting Pick

Brazil has all the indications of a vulnerable squad. A huge loss to Neymar, in tandem with a poor performance against Uruguay and home to Venezuela, should be warning signs for any prospective bettor. Now facing a hot Colombia team in their home environment, Brazil’s woes may continue. 

It doesn’t help things for Brazil that they have struggled to beat Colombia in recent fixtures. Los Cafeteros will be hungry to earn their fourth-ever win over their South American rivals. I think Colombia is the side to bet on here, but how should we do so?

I think a double chance bet is of value, as well as a straight bet on the draw. However, we are getting a generous line at BetOnline on Colombia’s moneyline. At (+255), this is 25 cents better than the rest of the market. Take Colombia at this number to pull off the upset, but if you cannot, look at their double chance bet or just draw depending on your confidence level. Stay away from backing Brazil.

ColombiaTo Defeat Brazil
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Will Chace

From Boston, Will's passion for sports is more of a hereditary characteristic than a learned hobby. Besides rooting for his hometown teams, he follows MMA heavily and will consume just about any sports-related content. In college, Will combined his passion for sports and writing as a journalist. Now, he provides detailed betting analysis to help others profit off their sports knowledge too. Will spots insights casual fans may miss and delivers his guidance in a direct, no-nonsense style. In his downtime, you can find him unwinding on the couch and watching foreign film classics.