Joey Chestnut to win 8th-straight Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

  • Joey Chestnut (-2500) is a virtual lock to win his eighth-consecutive Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest
  • An over/under of 73.5 wieners and buns has been set for the 39-year-old competitive eating legend  
  • The eating spectacle takes place in New York City’s Coney Island on Tuesday, July 4th

LeBron James, Novak Djokovic and Alex Ovechkin aren’t the only superstar athletes aging gracefully. Just look at 39-year-old Joey Chestnut, who has captured seven-straight Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contests without choking on a wiener or shitting himself to death.

Can the Indiana boy win the Fourth of July competition for a 16th time? Before we examine the odds, check out the top betting sites for Entertainment in 2023 and the latest betting odds for the 2024 Oscars.

2023 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

BetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review
Joey Chestnut-2500-2500-2500
Geoffrey Esper+800+800+800
Nick Wehry+1200+1200+1200
Darron Breedon+1400+1400+1400
Gideon Oji+2000+2000+2000
James Webb+2500+2500+2500

Chestnut is unbeatable

Joey Chestnut (-2500) has won the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest 15 of the last 16 times, setting a new record in five of the last seven years. In 2022, the 38-year-old chowed down 63 hot dogs and buns while wearing a surgical boot. You got to love a guy who plays hurt!

Geoffrey Esper (+800) placed second last year with 47.5 dogs and Nick Wehry (+1200) finished fourth with 40.5. That’s a lot of ground to make up with Chestnut, especially when you consider the competitive-eating God was 13 off his 2021 world-record of 76.

New World Record?

BetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review

Can 76 hot dogs be topped?

Chestnut is +200 to top his own world-record of 76, which he set back in 2021. His over-under is set at 73.5, which is 10.5 more wieners and buns than he managed in 2022. Was the 15-time champion impeded by his leg injury or is he finally passed his prime following a remarkable stretch where he toppled his own record almost every year?

Chestnut averaged 73 hot dogs over six events from 2016 to 2021 before eating just 63 last July. That was his lowest total since 2015 (60), when he was defeated by Matt Stonie. While Chestnut’s stomach should never be underestimated, it’s hard to see him eating 14 more dogs than he did in 2022.

Joey ChestnutNathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest
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New World RecordYes
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Total Hot Dogs Eaten

Competitive EatersTotal Hot DogsBetOnline Review
Joey ChestnutUnder 73½ Hot Dogs-140
Over 73½ Hot Dogs+100
Geoffrey EsperUnder 49½ Hot Dogs+100
Over 49½ Hot Dogs-130
Nick WehryUnder 48½ Hot Dogs-140
Over 48½ Hot Dogs+100
Miki SudoUnder 43½ Hot Dogs-130
Over 43½ Hot Dogs-110


As discussed above, we like Under 73.5 (-140) for Chestnut. While “Jaws” will no doubt pick up the $20,000 cash prize for winning the annual event, at age 39, he’s likely in a gradual decline phase.

We’ll also take the Under 49.5 (+100) for Geoffrey Esper, who consumed 47.5 hot dogs last year and 47 in 2021. At age 48, it’s unlikely that the electronics teacher suddenly reaches another level of eating excellence. Then again, he just set a new Donut Hole world-record in May, making Homer Simpson proud by eating 344 in eight minutes.

Nick Wehry Under 48.5 (-140) is also a safe wager. While the 34-year-old is still in his prime, he managed just 40.5 wieners and buns last July, and 44 the year prior.

Meanwhile, the mother of Wehry’s child, Miki Sudo, has an over/under of 43.5. The eight-time women’s champion downed 48.5 hot dogs (a new ladies record) back in 2020. She only managed 40 last year in her return to competitive-eating action after skipping the 2021 event while pregnant. We’ll take the Under here as well.

Nick WehryUnder 48.5
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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.