The NFL Preseason is unloved by many for its subpar football. Often the coaches often rest the star players and don’t give it their all. However, to those in the know, this makes betting on the games all the more fun and lucrative. I have a simple system that I like to use in the preseason. I will some stats here for five of the preseason games that should make betting on them a sure-win, as the bookmakers aren’t in the groove yet and have a hard time predicting them. Advantage: bettors.
There are a few indicators that tell you how to bet on the preseason, but I follow basically two. First: head coaches’ records in earlier preseasons, which will tell what teams will take games seriously. Second: position battles, especially at quarterback.
These are 5 games this 2013 NFL preseason where one or both of these concepts come into play and thus are my 5 Easy Bets:
New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles- Game Total: 39- Week 1
Bill Belichick has a 1-3 record last season in the preseason and a 29-25 record overall. Usually the Patriots wouldn’t be in my best preseason bets, but with all the changes they suffered in the receiver position; they need all the time they can to get in sync.
Don’t expect Tom Brady to be in the game more than a few plays, but Tim Tebow and Ryan Mallet will be fighting for the number two spot.
Same story for the Eagles. The new coach needs to take advantage of all the preseason time he has, especially because all three quarterback available, Mike Vick, Matt Barkley and Nick Foles have the same chance of winning the starting position.
Best Bet: OVER
Detroit Lions -3.5 vs NY Jets – Week 1
Jim Schwartz is one of the few coaches that take winning in the preseason seriously; he has a 12-4 record.
The Jets have a quarterback situation going, but it’s an ugly one. Geno Smith might not be ready to be the starter, and the other is Mark Sanchez. Rex Ryan is 6-10 in the preseason, and he went 0-4 last season.
Best Bet: Lions -3.5
Washington Redskins vs Tennessee Titans -3 – Week 1
It’s probable that RGIII will be the starting quarterback for the Redskins in week one against the Eagles, but if he regresses from his ACL injury Kirk Cousins should be the guy.
Washington can’t afford to over expose Cousins in the preseason, even less to have him injured that’s I don’t expect him to play a lot in preseason week one against the Titans.
Rex Grossman will be the guy who takes most of the snaps, and that means errors and touchdowns; both ways.
Ryan Fitzpatrick thinks he can beat Jake Locker for the quarterback position in Tennessee, even if there is no open competition. Of course, as with Grossman, picks and scores will fly all over.
Best Bet: Over.
Washington Redskins vs Pittsburgh Steelers – Week 2
Mike Tomlin is 19-6 during the preseason; best by any active coach. Since he started coaching he hasn’t lost more than one game in a preaseason; he usually has a 3-1 record during the preseason, in 2007 he went 4-1 after playing the Hall of fame game.
Best Bet: Steelers straight up, probably also against the spread (not available yet).
Arizona Cardinals vs Denver Broncos – Week 4
The Cardinals are 6-10 over the last four preseasons; the new coach Bruce Arians will try to make a different impact, but it’s hard to make the idea come across over the first few games.
Peyton Manning will play in week 4 for several minutes and that should be enough to bet the Broncos.
Best Bet: Take the Broncos.
As you can see, the NFL preseason is a great time to not only warm up your betting arm, but to cash-in early. With all sorts of big promos, it’s an ideal time to sign up at an online sportsbook – as long as you go with the right one – so take a look at our sports betting site reviews, written by our experts to help you decide which sportsbook is right for you this betting season. It’s sooner than you thought!