Chiefs vs Raiders: NFL Monday Night Football Week 5 Picks

  • The Kansas City Chiefs (3-1) are favored by a touchdown over the visiting Las Vegas Raiders (1-3)
  • Patrick Mahomes is 7-1 with 22 passing touchdowns and 3 interceptions in eight career games against his AFC West rivals
  • Monday Night Football on ESPN kicks off from Arrowhead Stadium on October 10 at 8:15pm ET

In Week 4, there was no more impressive team in the NFL than the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes delivered a magical performance in a 41-31 primetime pummeling of Tampa Bay on Sunday Night Football. This week, Kansas City hosts Derek Carr and the Las Vegas Raiders, who finally picked up their first win of season with a 32-23 victory over the Broncos.

Before we check the latest odds on this Monday Night Football divisional rivalry game, here’s where you can find the best Super Bowl betting tips and the top betting sites for NFL football in 2022.

Chiefs vs Raiders

BetOnline ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Las Vegas Raiders+7.0 (-110)+270Ov 51 (-110)
Kansas City Chiefs-7.0 (-110)-325Un 51 (-110)

More Mahomes magic?

Call it revenge for a humbling Super Bowl 55 defeat. Patrick Mahomes toyed with the Buccaneers defense in Week 4, throwing for 249 yards and three touchdowns in a decisive 41-31 road victory. The Chiefs superstar should keep rolling against the Raiders on Monday Night Football.

He has won seven of eight career games versus his AFC West “rivals”, averaging 318 passing yards per game with 22 touchdowns and three interceptions.

 

Vegas finally wins one

It has been a rough start to the Josh McDaniels era in Las Vegas. But after opening the year with three straight losses, the team leaned on Josh Jacobs (a career-high 144 rushing yards with two TDs) to defeat Denver on Sunday. Derek Carr connected with his buddy Davante Adams nine times for 101 yards, but he’ll need to throw for a helluva lot more than 188 yards and 0 TDs to keep pace with KC on Monday night.

Kansas City ChiefsTo Cover Spread
★★★★★
-7.0
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Las Vegas RaidersTo Win
★★★★★
+270
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Chiefs vs Raiders

Kansas City is a 7-point home favorite over Vegas and the game has the highest total (51 points) on the entire Week 5 slate. Mahomes has embarrassed his opponents in Silver & Black throughout the years. But, it’s worth mentioning that Raiders DC Patrick Graham kept the Chiefs QB in check last time they met. The 27-year-old threw for just 275 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT in a 20-17 win over the Giants last November.

Key to stopping Mahomes on Monday night will be pressure – something Las Vegas has generated very little of in 2022. Their sack percentage (3.6%) is the second worst in the NFL. Defensive end Maxx Crosby has four of his team’s five sacks this season. Needless to say, the Raiders desperately need free-agent acquisition Chandler Jones to step up.

Best Bet

Red zone scoring will likely be the difference in this one, as not many teams can keep pace with the Chiefs while settling for field goals. Raiders opponents have scored touchdowns on 76.9% of trips to the red zone (the fourth-highest rate in the NFL) while Kansas City has the fourth-best TD-scoring percentage (73.7%) in the league once they’re in the red zone.

On the other side of the ball, Derek Carr has converted RZ opportunities into TDs only 44.4% of the time – the fifth-worst rate in the league. We like the Chiefs and the UNDER on Monday Night Football.

Final Score Prediction: Kansas City 28, Raiders 19

Chiefs vs Raiders-110
★★★★★
UNDER 51
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Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on delicious eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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