- The Chiefs (+500) and Ravens (+575) saw their Super Bowl odds shorten after impressive victories on the NFL’s opening weekend
- Seattle (+1200), Arizona (+2500) and the Rams (+3300) are all trending up in the NFC West
- Tom Brady’s Buccaneers (+1600) should rebound from their Week 1 loss to the Saints (+900) with a run of winnable games upcoming
Following a fun opening weekend of the NFL season, many football pundits have probably advised you not to overreact to Week 1 results.
But oddsmakers have certainly made wild adjustments to their projected outcomes, moving the Seahawks up to a +1200 Super Bowl favorites from +2200 before the season, and dropping the Eagles and Colts from +2000 to +4000 after both suffered upset losses.
As we’ll be doing every Tuesday of the NFL regular season, let’s examine all the risers and fallers on the BetOnline board and identify some potential values.
ODDS TO WIN SUPER BOWL 54
|Team||Current Odds||Trending||Before Season|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+500||↑||+650|
|New Orleans Saints||+900||↑||+1000|
|San Francisco 49ers||+1200||↓||+1000|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+1600||↓||+1200|
|Green Bay Packers||+2000||↔||+2000|
|New England Patriots||+2200||↓||+2000|
|Los Angeles Rams||+3300||↓||+6000|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+5000||↓||+8000|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+5000||↔||+5000|
|New York Giants||+12500||↓||+8000|
|New York Jets||+25000||↓||+125000|
RISING UP THE BOARD
Any thoughts that Lamar Jackson would fall back to earth were quickly dispelled by a dominant three-touchdown performance by the reigning MVP in an easy 38-6 win over the Browns.
Like the Chiefs (+500), who got a big performance from rookie running back Clyde-Edwards Helaire (138 yards, TD) in their 34-20 win over the Texans on Thursday, the Ravens (+575) saw their second-round selection pay immediate dividends as J.K. Dobbins punched in two touchdowns in his debut.
Kyler Murray scramble TD 😳
He puts Cards up on the 49ers in the 4Q
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) September 13, 2020
While Kansas City and Baltimore cemented their favorite status, the Seahawks (+1200) are now viewed as top-five contenders. Seattle’s 38-25 win over Atlanta was certainly impressive, but what likely caught oddsmakers’ attention was that Pete Carroll actually “let Russ cook”.
Wilson dropped back to pass on 18 of their 25 offensive plays in the first half and finished with 322 passing yards and four scores.
The Cardinals (+2800) and Rams (+3300) also saw their odds shorten from +5000 and +6000 before the season, as each franchise scored huge upsets over the 49ers and Cowboys on Sunday. After one week of football, one thing is certain: the NFC West is the NFL’s most competitive division.
San Francisco‘s odds fell slightly from +1000 to +1200 following their 24-20 loss to Arizona, which we predicted in our weekly picks column. Despite injuries to George Kittle and Deebo Samuel, the 49ers have a wonderful opportunity to right the ship with two games against the Jets and Giants on tap.
Tom Brady’s two-interception debut in a 34-23 loss to the Saints (+900) caused the Buccaneers’ odds to dip from +1200 to +1600, but keep in mind that oddsmakers see New Orleans as a top-three team. It’s not time to worry about ‘Tompa Bay’ unless they drop one of their next four contests against the Panthers, Chargers, Broncos and Bears.
Tom Brady is the first QB to have three straight games with a pick-six since Matt Schaub and Blaine Gabbert in 2013.
(h/t @pfref) pic.twitter.com/suXHhbUIgf
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) September 14, 2020
The Colts, Eagles and Vikings all saw their odds double to +4000 after each suffered humiliating Week 1 losses to divisional opponents in Jacksonville, Washington and Green Bay.
While neither is a great bet to hoist the Lombardi Trophy, Philadelphia has the best quarterback of the three in Carson Wentz.
The same logic could apply to Deshaun Watson’s Texans (+7500), however, the Eagles are probably the NFL’s best value considering they were missing sophomore running back Miles Sanders and key players across the offensive line in Week 1.
Best value play: Eagles (+4000) at BetOnline