- BetOnline has updated Super Bowl 54 odds for all 32 NFL teams following Week 4
- The Saints (+1200) and Browns (+2200) have surging title odds after big wins on Sunday
- The Rams (+1400), Vikings (+3300) and Texans (+4000) don’t look championship-quality after dispiriting losses
It’s hard not to jump to conclusions at the start of every NFL season, but each week offers more and more evidence to separate the contenders from the pretenders.
Week 4 was one of those perception-shifting weekends that made us all reconsider who’s good and who’s bad. The Browns’ 40-25 demolishing of the Ravens, the Buccaneers’ 55-40 upset over the Rams, and the Eagles’ 34-27 win over the Packers changed the way we look at all six teams.
With big movement in the Super Bowl 54 odds at BetOnline, let’s look at how the Week 4 results shifted the football landscape.
ODDS TO WIN SUPER BOWL 54
|New England Patriots||+350|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+500|
|New Orleans Saints||+1200|
|Los Angeles Rams||+1400|
|Green Bay Packers||+1600|
|San Francisco 49ers||+2200|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+2800|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+5000|
|New York Giants||+6600|
|New York Jets||+50000|
THE “BETTER THAN WE THOUGHT” TEAMS
Entering Sunday, the decibel level on the “Baker is overrated” chorus was climbing with former coach and foot-connoisseur Rex Ryan singing lead vocals.
However, after Mayfield threw for 342 yards and a score in the Browns 15-point divisional beatdown of Baltimore, suddenly things are looking up in Cleveland. Nick Chubb ran for 165-yards and three touchdowns, and after a disastrous year in Arizona, Steve Wilks’ has quietly built one of the league’s better defenses.
Baker Mayfield won’t forget what people have been saying about the Browns. pic.twitter.com/PcE82Yb0n2
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) September 29, 2019
Following a second straight win over a quality opponent with Teddy Bridgewater under center, the Saints are back up to 12/1 to win the Super Bowl after sitting at 20/1 just two weeks ago.
Chicago’s odds have held steady at 16/1 all month despite a season-opening loss to the Packers and a close call versus Denver in Week 2.
Sunday’s suffocating defensive performance over Kirk Cousins and the Vikings proved the Bears haven’t lost a step under new DC Chuck Pagano. Sitting at 3-1, they shouldn’t have any trouble overcoming Mitch Trubisky’s shoulder injury.
THE “WAIT A SECOND” TEAMS
While the Cowboys offense came back to earth in a 12-10 loss to New Orleans on Sunday night, the hard-fought effort was enough to keep Dallas’ odds at 12/1.
The opposite was true for the Rams, whose Super Bowl odds plummeted to 14/1 from +750 just a week ago after getting shelled by Bruce Arians’ Bucs at home.
After 20 games, it’s fair to say Kirk Cousins isn’t the answer in Minnesota; so what do they do with him in 2020, when he’s due to make a fully-guaranteed salary of $29.5 million? https://t.co/AkQbmxu5Oe
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) September 30, 2019
Green Bay’s title odds dropped from 12/1 to 16/1 after Philadelphia ran all over them on Thursday night. Mike Pettine’s defense fell apart, and while Aaron Rodgers passed for over 400 yards, the Packers’ offense doesn’t look any better than the much-reviled Mike McCarthy era.
Minnesota sits last in the NFC North with a 2-2 record, but their listless offense almost makes them seem overvalued at 33/1 (down from 16/1 after Week 3). Also at 33/1, Baltimore and Lamar Jackson have returned to earth with back-to-back losses following a paper-tissue-soft start to the year against Miami and Arizona.
Deshaun Watson explains Carolina’s defense in 66 seconds. pic.twitter.com/8Fn4OAKHk3
— Rivers McCown (@riversmccown) September 29, 2019
Deshaun Watson and the Texans also saw their Super Bowl odds double from 20/1 to 40/1 in the past week, but given everyone in the NFC South has a 2-2 record, it seems too early panic after close losses to the Saints and Panthers.