The days of just betting the winner of the Super Bowl are well behind us. Today, there are thousands of different bets you can make during the big game. This year, you can bet on how long Luke Bryan will take to sing the National Anthem, what song Lady Gaga will open halftime with, which company will have the best commercial, and even what color hoodie Bill Belichick will don. Then, of course, there are another thousand props that actually deal with the game on the field.
For someone who is not an avid gambler, this can all be quite overwhelming. So I have gone through our list of Super Bowl Props and picked out the five-best bets to make for this Sunday.
MTS’ Five-Best Prop Bets
1. Odds to have the most receiving yards: Julian Edelman (5/1)
Since Rob Gronkowski went down in Week 10 against Seattle, Julian Edelman has been a target-monster. In nine games sans Gronk, Edelman has averaged a little over 12 targets per game. In the last three, he has 406 receiving yards. He’s clearly Tom Brady’s favorite (healthy) target, and he’s likely to see a lot of man-coverage against the Falcons.
Atlanta’s offense has been so great this season partly because it has spread the ball around, not solely relying on Julio Jones to make all the plays. With Bill Belichick likely to focus on slowing Jones, I expect the entire Falcon receiving corps to pull its share on Sunday.
Take the value with Edelman.
2. Odds to score the first TD: Julian Edelman (11/1)
Before we get away from the Pats’ best receiver, he’s getting you a ton of value to score the first touchdown of the game. His odds are long because he’s only found the endzone four times this season. But he has also scored twice in the last three games. Brady and company won’t get conservative in the redzone, as they know touchdowns will be crucial against the top-scoring offense in the league.
3. O/U total turnovers: Over (1.5)
There is a reason these are the last two teams standing. Actually, there are a few reasons. But one of the main ones is that neither turns the ball over. Atlanta and New England tied for the fewest turnovers during the regular season (11). The Falcons continued that trend in the playoffs and have yet to give the ball away in two postseason games. The Pats, however, turned it over three times against the Texans in the Divisional Round.
Matt Ryan and the Falcon offense are due to make at least one mistake in this one, and the two defenses have combined to generate nine takeaways in four postseason games.
4. Odds Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman both score TDs: Yes (5/3)
They have both found the endzone in each of Atlanta’s last three games. I’m expecting Belichick to give Julio double-coverage in the redzone, and will leave Malcolm Butler to cover Mohamed Sanu on his own. The Pats will try to rely on their stingy defensive front to stop the run. I like those odds for Atlanta on the ground, and I also see the two backs creating mismatches as receivers out of the backfield.
5. Odds the game breaks the Super Bowl record for combined QB passing yards: No (2/3)
The record is 649, which is just too high for me. Although the offenses have the potential to strike quickly, both will try to control the clock and keep their counterparts on the sideline. Dan Quinn is familiar with Tom Brady, and Bill Belichick is the master of flustering opposing quarterbacks.
Photo Credit: Jeffrey Beall (Own work) [CC BY 3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons.