- BetOnline posted opening odds on the 2021 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
- Trevor Lawrence (+350) is the chalk pick to win the award after being selected No. 1 overall to the Jaguars
- Najee Harris (+1200) will get all the touches he can handle in Pittsburgh this year
Hope springs eternal in the National Football League and thanks to the NFL Draft, this is the time of year fans of every franchise (except the Houston Texans) can talk themselves into making a miracle run at the Super Bowl.
With a new class of college football stars set to finally get paid, let’s analyze their landing spots and make some predictions on who might win the 2021 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year honors. Find the latest odds below and get tips and advice for betting on NFL football games here.
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds
|Terrace Marshall Jr||+4000|
Trevor Lawrence opens as obvious favorite
Commonly referred to as the most bulletproof QB prospect since Andrew Luck, former Clemson star Trevor Lawrence is OROY chalk at +350. The Jaguars’ No. 1 pick certainly seems worthy of a hearty wager, but there’s always chance that he’s overrated due to lackluster ACC competition, that Jacksonville coach Urban Meyer has no idea what he’s doing in the pro ranks, or that another rookie outperforms him in 2021.
Working in his favor, however, is that the next three guys on the board — Trey Lance (+550), Justin Fields (+650) and Mac Jones (+750) — are all currently underdogs to start the first game of the season for their new teams. The 21-year-old North Dakota State product is easy to talk yourself into due to the 49ers weaponry (George Kittle, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk) and Kyle Shanahan’s play calling, but Fields likely has a better shot of seeing the field earlier given he’s competing with Andy Dalton in the quarterback-starved city of Chicago.
Trevor Lawrence and Travis Etienne have combined for 173 TDs in the last 3 seasons 😳
Welcome to Jacksonville 🐆 pic.twitter.com/VeArvLg2ca
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) May 6, 2021
At +1000, no. 2 overall pick Zach Wilson is assured of starting game 1 for the Jets but lacks the eye-popping athleticism and running ability of the other quarterbacks in the class not named Mac “dad bod” Jones.
The only argument against either Ja’Marr Chase (+1000) or Kyle Pitts (+1000) winning Offensive Rookie of the Year is that Justin Jefferson finished a distant second in voting last season despite amassing 1400 yards and 7 touchdowns for the Vikings. Both the Bengals’ wide receiver and the Falcons’ tight end look like generational prospects, but only three pass-catchers have claimed the award in the past 20 years – Odell Beckham Jr, (2014), Percy Harvin (2009) and Anquan Boldin (2003).
Let’s look at some longshots
Najee Harris (+1200) scored 50 touchdowns in the past two seasons at Alabama and while the road is about to get a whole lot rockier behind the Steelers’ awful offensive line, he will get as many carries as he can handle in Pittsburgh this season. The next back off the board was Travis Etienne (+3300), but it’s tough to see him getting enough touches in Jacksonville with James Robinson.
Javonte Williams (+2800) is intriguing with rumors of Aaron Rodgers possibly landing in Denver. With only Melvin Gordon in his way, the Tar Heel tackle-breaker could pile up touchdowns and join Saquon Barkley (2018), Alvin Kamara (2017), Todd Gurley (2015) and Eddie Lacy as the fifth back to win the OROY in the past nine years.
Steelers RB Najee Harris: 33 missed tackles forced on RECs since 2019
1st among all RBs in college football🔥 pic.twitter.com/EsHUHF285r
— PFF (@PFF) May 7, 2021
Trey Sermon (+4000) could be dangerous in Shanahan’s zone-blocking scheme in San Francisco, and both Terrace Marshall (+4000) and Rondale Moore (+4000) have the jaw-dropping athleticism (albeit at much different heights) to surprise in their first seasons with Carolina and Arizona.
We’d recommend pairing Lawrence with your preferred longshot and doubling your chances to win.
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