- The Ravens (+200) remain Super Bowl chalk heading into Saturday’s primetime matchup with the Titans (+2000)
- Kansas City (+350) and San Francisco (+350) are heavy home-field favorites in the Divisional Round
- The Packers (+800) and Seahawks (+1200) will renew their rivalry in Sunday’s late afternoon game
It was somewhat fitting that the first football played in 2020 confirmed that the quarterback class that defined the past two decades would no longer rule the NFL moving forward.
Tom Brady and Drew Brees were upset in the Wild Card Round, becoming the latest legendary signal-callers to flounder in a season where Eli Manning was benched, Philip Rivers tossed 20 picks and Ben Roethlisberger morphed into Matt Patricia on the sidelines.
As we move into the Divisional Round, Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers are the only two Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks left in the field.
Let’s examine the latest Lombardi odds at BetOnline and try to determine what teams will advance to the Conference Championship games.
ODDS TO WIN SUPER BOWL 54
|Team||Current Odds||Trending||Last Week|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+350||↑||+425|
|San Francisco 49ers||+350||↑||+400|
|Green Bay Packers||+800||↑||+1000|
BALTIMORE VS TENNESSEE
As they get ready to host Tennessee (+2000) on Saturday night, the biggest questions surrounding Baltimore are whether they will be rusty after not playing a game of consequence in 20 days, and if Mark Ingram is 100 percent after straining his calf in Week 16.
Lamar Jackson turns 23 today ?
He ALREADY holds the QB rushing record, leads the NFL in pass TD and is the MVP front-runner ? pic.twitter.com/LALczaXxP5
— ESPN (@espn) January 7, 2020
Fellow Alabama back Derrick Henry steamrolled the Patriots (182 yards on 34 attempts) in a 20-13 Wild Card win, but Ryan Tannehill will have to throw for more than 71 yards for the Titans to have any hope against Lamar Jackson and company.
KANSAS CITY VS HOUSTON
After coming back from a 16-0 deficit against the Bills in their annual Saturday-afternoon first-round playoff slot, Houston (+3300) received some more good fortune when the Titans snuffed out the Patriots dynasty on Saturday night.
Had New England won, the Texans would have played Baltimore this weekend (a team they lost to 41-7 in Week 11), but instead now match up with Kansas City (a team they beat 31-24 in Arrowhead in Week 6).
How long was Patrick Mahomes angry about the overtime loss in the AFC Championship? Also what does Andy Reid think of his quarterback’s sophomore season as a starter following up his MVP year? And is he better right now compared to last year when he was putting up sick numbers? pic.twitter.com/IJHcSKHFuI
— James Palmer (@JamesPalmerTV) January 8, 2020
Riding a six-game win streak, the Chiefs (+350) — the only one of last season’s quarterfinalists to return to the Divisional Round — have drastically improved on defense since that time and appear to be fully healthy for the first time all year.
Deshaun Watson is a magician who cannot be counted out under any circumstances, but the NFL gods would seem cruel to permit a Texans win when we’re this close to a Conference Championship duel between reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes and soon-to-be MVP Lamar Jackson.
SAN FRANCISCO VS MINNESOTA
Deepest apologies for not recommending the Vikings at +3300 in last week’s update. Minnesota looked like a different team last Sunday while handing the Saints their latest playoff defeat, and well, that’s because they were.
On the field at full strength together for the first time since way back in Week 6, Dalvin Cook and Adam Thielen combined for 262 of the Vikings’ 362 yards in the 26-20 overtime-victory.
“I got three words for ya … YOU LIKE THAT!?”
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) January 5, 2020
With the big-game monkey finally off Kirk Cousins’ back (he was 6-30 all-time against teams with winning records entering last week’s contest), Minnesota should be able to pile up points against the 49ers.
San Francisco moved up to a +350 favorite after New Orleans’ loss, but they could be in trouble this weekend if the return of linebacker Kwon Alexander doesn’t inject life into a defense that has, frankly, sucked over the season’s second half.
GREEN BAY VS SEATTLE
While Brandon Bostick’s botched onside-kick retrieval happened six years ago and “The Fail Mary” was way back in 2012, this Sunday’s Seahawks/Packers contest still has the feel of a rivalry game.
Russell Wilson has bested Aaron Rodgers in four of seven career meetings, but hasn’t won in Wisconsin since he was a Badger in 2011, going 0-3 at Lambeau Field with six interceptions and a 60.4 passer rating.
The last time @AaronRodgers12 played in the Divisional Round…
He gave us an ALL-TIME #NFLPlayoffs performance against the Cowboys. ?
— NFL (@NFL) January 8, 2020
But while Wilson is still at the height of his powers, Rodgers captained an offense that finished 18th in yards per game this season.
Listed at +800 to win the Super Bowl, Green Bay is likely the better team, but there’s no doubt that Seattle has the better quarterback at this stage of their respective careers.
With the Saints removed from the NFC picture, placing a bet on the Seahawks (+1200) or Vikings (+1400) doesn’t seem nearly as crazy as it did last week.