Updated NFL Division Winner Odds After the Preseason

  • The Patriots (-400), Steelers (+125), Texans (+165), and Chiefs (-160) are favored to win the AFC divisions
  • The Eagles (-150), Saints (-150), and Rams (-150) are heavy chalk in their respective NFC divisions
  • the NFC North is the only division without a clear favorite, with the Bears and Packers both at +190

With Week 1 of the 2019 NFL season finally here, it can be tempting to believe you know exactly how things are going to unfold during the league’s centennial season. However, at this time of year, it’s important to remember that nothing is ever as it seems in the National Football League.

With plenty of surprises on tap, let’s check the latest divisional odds at BetOnline and pick winners across the AFC and NFC.

ODDS TO WIN AFC EAST

AFC East Team Odds
New England Patriots -400
New York Jets +550
Buffalo Bills +800
Miami Dolphins +2000

Providing New England with an all-important bye week in round 1 of the playoffs year-in and year-out, the AFC East’s ineptitude has been the Patriots’ greatest advantage over an 18-year span where they’ve won 16 division titles and six Super Bowls.

While the respective ages of Sam Darnold (22) and Tom Brady (42) provide Jets fans with hope that New England’s reign may soon be over, it’s best to play it safe for one more year.

Pick: New England Patriots (-400)

ODDS TO WIN AFC NORTH

AFC North Team Odds
Pittsburgh Steelers +125
Cleveland Browns +165
Baltimore Ravens +325
Cincinnati Bengals +1600

After being division favorites all offseason, the Browns shaky offensive line has given bettors pause. In the meantime, Antonio Brown’s helmet antics have people believing the Steelers will be better off without the diva wide receiver.

But, with a stacked offense of fantasy stars (Baker Mayfield, Nick Chubb, Odell Beckham Jr.) and a terrifying defense led by DPOY-candidate Myles Garrett, I’m sticking with the Browns.

Pick: Cleveland Browns (+165)

ODDS TO WIN AFC SOUTH

AFC South Team Odds
Houston Texans -165
Jacksonville Jaguars +210
Tennessee Titans +350
Indianapolis Colts +400

Texans head coach Bill O’Brien made a couple of baffling trades, first sending three-time Pro Bowler Jadeveon Clowney to the Seahawks for nothing, then shipping two first-round picks and a second to Miami for LT Laremy Tunsil and WR Kenny Stills.

Deshaun Watson’s presence alone makes Houston the rightful favorite in the AFC South, but I’m not ready to dismiss a Colts team with a bulldozing offensive line, an ascending young defense led by Darius Leonard, and a smart play caller in Frank Reich who should be able to coach up Jacoby Brissett.

Pick: Indianapolis Colts (+400)

ODDS TO WIN AFC WEST

AFC West Team Odds
Kansas City Chiefs -160
Los Angeles Chargers +175
Denver Broncos +1000
Oakland Raiders +1600

The Chargers’ offensive line is in tatters with LT Russell Okung expected to miss at least six games, both Jon Gruden and Antonio Brown are certifiably insane, and the Broncos are quarterbacked by Joe Flacco.

The Chiefs, meanwhile, have a once-in-a-generation star in Patrick Mahomes, an ever-expanding universe of exciting offensive weapons, and a planet-sized play-calling genius in Andy Reid.

Pick: Kansas City Chiefs (-160)

ODDS TO WIN NFC EAST

NFC East Team Odds
Philadelphia Eagles -150
Dallas Cowboys +200
New York Giants +1000
Washington Redskins +1000

The roller-coaster ride that is the Ezekiel Elliott-Jerry Jones contract negotiation is the latest reminder (after Kawhi Leonard’s free agency watch) that the “insider” reports you read on Twitter are complete crap.

With Zeke’s status still up-in-the-air and Amari Cooper once again having foot trouble, Dallas’ potentially-dominant young defense won’t be enough to ground the Eagles.

Philadelphia has a deep O-Line, explosive rookie weapons in WR JJ Arcega-Whiteside and RB Miles Sanders, and an old friend in DeSean Jackson who should catch plenty of deep balls from a healthy Carson Wentz.

Pick: Philadelphia Eagles (-150)

ODDS TO WIN NFC NORTH

NFC North Team Odds
Chicago Bears +190
Green Bay Packers +190
Minnesota Vikings +225
Detroit Lions +800

Is Mitch Trubisky ready to make another leap in coach Matt Nagy’s offense or is he the next Blake Bortles? Was the Packers’ demise all Mike McCarthy’s fault or will Aaron Rodgers struggle to get along with new coach Matt LaFleur as well?

Can Gary Kubiak fix the Vikings offense or is the Kirk Cousins signing already a lost cause? And, finally, will Detroit fire the slovenly Matt Patricia at mid-season or wait for another 6-10 finish? This may be the division with the most questions in all of the NFL. I’ll take the team with the best roster, top to bottom.

Pick: Minnesota Vikings (+225)     

ODDS TO WIN NFC SOUTH

NFC South Team Odds
New Orleans Saints -150
Atlanta Falcons +350
Carolina Panthers +450
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +900

The Saints rebounded from the Minneapolis Miracle to win the NFC South last season, but it’s going to be harder to shake off the blown call that cost them a trip to the Super Bowl.

Doubted his entire career, a healthy Cam Newton is going to make magic happen in Norv Turner’s offense with Christian McCaffrey and two promising pass catchers in D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel.

Pick: Carolina Panthers (+450)

ODDS TO WIN NFC WEST

NFC West Team Odds
Los Angeles Rams -150
Seattle Seahawks +250
San Francisco 49ers +450
Arizona Cardinals +1600

The Seahawks’ trade for Jadeveon Clowney puts them back on the radar, but a dearth of pass-catching options and an uncreative offensive coordinator will ultimately doom Russell Wilson.

While I believe the Rams attack will be slowed by a hobbled Todd Gurley, Sean McVay should be able to draw up enough plays to take advantage of a weak NFC West and claim his third-consecutive division title.

Pick: Los Angeles Rams (-150)

Steve Dominey

Steve has almost 15 years of experience in marketing, PR and sports television. After acquiring a Journalism degree from Carleton University, he assembled highlight packs for Canada's most-watched sports network (TSN) before transitioning to a career in communications. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.