2018 MLB Odds: Tebow and the Marlins are Baseball’s Biggest Longshots

  • We’ve set odds for some of the biggest storylines of the upcoming 2018 MLB season.  
  • All eyes will be on Shohei Ohtani as the “Japanese Babe Ruth” begins his Major League career in L.A.
  • Tim Tebow is capturing the imagination of fans worldwide with his attempt to make the Mets.

What do Tim Tebow and the Miami Marlins have in common? Neither of them belong in the Major Leagues. All kidding aside, they’re also among the biggest storylines for the upcoming 2018 season. The Mile-High Messiah is trying to defy the odds by embarking on a Big League career at age 30, while the Marlins are hoping to avoid infamy after trading away four of their top five players.

We’ve selected more than a dozen other captivating storylines and created odds and props for each. Make sure to visit our top–rated sportsbooks in the weeks to come to see if these wagers come available.

Win Totals and Postseason Odds

We hope you enjoyed watching the Astros and Dodgers tangle in the World Series this past October, because odds are you’re going to be seeing the same match-up again. The two teams are poised to return to the Fall Classic after keeping their young, talented cores largely intact. Also keep an eye on the Red Sox, who added J.D. Martinez over the winter, and the Yankees, who made headlines by nabbing Giancarlo Stanton from Miami’s firesale.

Most likely World Series matchups

  • Dodgers vs Astros: 15/1
  • Dodgers vs Yankees: 18/1
  • Dodgers vs Indians: 7/3
  • Cubs vs Yankees: 20/1
  • Cubs vs Indians: 30/1
  • Nationals vs Yankees: 36/1
  • Nationals vs Red Sox: 70/1

Odds to win the AL Central

  • Cleveland Indians: 2/3
  • Minnesota Twins: 4/1
  • Kansas City Royals: 9/1
  • Chicago White Sox: 12/1
  • Detroit Tigers: 50/1

Odds to win the AL East

  • New York Yankees: 11/9
  • Boston Red Sox: 7/3
  • Toronto Blue Jays: 9/1
  • Baltimore Orioles: 12/1
  • Tampa Bay Rays: 20/1

Odds to win the AL West

  • Houston Astros: 2/3
  • Los Angeles Angels: 3/1
  • Seattle Mariners: 12/1
  • Texas Rangers: 25/1
  • Oakland Athletics: 30/1

Odds to win the NL Central

  • Chicago Cubs: 9/11
  • Milwaukee Brewers: 3/1
  • St. Louis Cardinals: 9/1
  • Pittsburgh Pirates: 15/1
  • Cincinnati Reds: 25/1

Odds to win the NL East

  • Washington Nationals: 2/3
  • New York Mets: 4/1
  • Philadelphia Phillies: 8/1
  • Atlanta Braves: 11/1
  • Miami Marlins: 100/1

Odds to win the NL West

  • Los Angeles Dodgers: 1/1
  • Arizona Diamondbacks: 3/1
  • San Francisco Giants: 7/1
  • Colorado Rockies: 8/1
  • San Diego Padres: 75/1

You can place bets on all MLB divisional races at BetOnline. [See our full BetOnline sportsbook review here.]

Odds to win the AL Wild Card spots (projected division-winners excluded)

  • Boston Red Sox: 1/4
  • Los Angeles Angels: 2/3
  • Minnesota Twins: 3/1
  • Toronto Blue Jays: 7/1
  • Kansas City Royals: 9/1
  • Seattle Mariners: 15/1
  • FIELD: 15/1

Odds to win the NL Wild Card spots (projected division-winners excluded)

  • Arizona Diamondbacks: 1/3
  • Milwaukee Brewers: 1/1
  • San Francisco Giants: 3/1
  • Colorado Rockies: 4/1
  • St. Louis Cardinals: 6/1
  • New York Mets: 9/1
  • FIELD: 15/1

Over/Under highest regular-season win total in 2018 (all teams): 102.5

Over/Under highest regular-season win total in 2018 (single team): 99.5 (Houston Astros)

Over/Under lowest regular-season win total in 2018 (all teams): 59.5

Over/Under lowest regular-season win total in 2018 (single team): 62.5 (Miami Marlins)

New York Yankees Odds

You didn’t think we’d write a baseball preview without devoting a section to the Yankees, did you? (We know what gets clicks.) New York promises to be one of the league’s most intriguing teams this season after acquiring NL MVP Giancarlo Stanton from the Marlins. The 6’6 slugger will hit in the two-hole and will combine with Aaron Judge to give the Bombers the most lethal tandem in the majors. Get ready for some serious fireworks this summer in the Bronx!

Over/Under Yankees homers before the All-Star break: 135.5

Over/Under Yankees homers for the 2018 season: 249.5

Odds Yankees break Mariners’ record of 264 home runs in a season: 6/1

Over/Under Yankees wins in 2018: 95.5

Giancarlo Stanton
Aaron Judge will have plenty of help this season thanks to the addition of Giancarlo Stanton. (Photo credit: Arturo Paravila III (Flickr) CC License)

Odds Giancarlo Stanton gets booed his first time back in Miami: 3/1

Over/Under Giancarlo Stanton home runs in 2018: 51.5

Over/Under combined HR-feet between Judge and Stanton in their best game: 1850.5

Over/Under combined HR-feet between Judge and Stanton in 2018: 39,780

Odds to lead the AL in strikeouts

  • Aaron Judge (Yankees): 3/1
  • Joey Gallo (Rangers): 4/1
  • Chris Davis (Orioles): 6/1
  • Justin Upton (Angels): 8/1
  • Khris Davis (A’s): 11/1
  • FIELD: 7/2

San Francisco Giants Odds

We can’t let the Yankees have all the fun, can we? We also have odds on the new-look Giants, who boosted their playoff chances this offseason by acquiring perennial All-Stars Evan Longoria and Andrew McCutchen.

Odds the San Francisco Giants have a winning season: 1/1

Odds the San Francisco Giants make the playoffs: 5/2

Managerial Odds

Baseball is a sport of a million statistics, but when it comes to managers, there’s only one number that matters: wins. That’s bad news for Don Mattingly, Kevin Cash, and Bob Melvin, all of whom are stuck with rosters built to lose. The Marlins, in particular, could set a new record for futility this summer after unloading All-Stars Giancarlo Stanton, Dee Gordon, and Marcell Ozuna in an attempt to get younger and create more financial flexibility.

On the flipside, rookie skippers like Aaron Boone, Alex Cora, and Dave Martinez all lucked into ideal situations on their first year on the job and should have a grand time feasting on the league’s bottom dwellers.

First manager fired 

  • Don Mattingly (Marlins): 6/1
  • Kevin Cash (Rays): 6/1
  • Bob Melvin (A’s): 8/1
  • Brian Snitker (Braves): 9/1
  • Clint Hurdle (Pirates): 10/1
  • Mike Matheny (Cardinals): 11/1
  • Ned Yost (Royals): 12/1
  • Andy Green (Padres): 15/1
  • Buck Showalter (Orioles): 18/1
  • Bryan Price (Reds): 25/1
  • Josh Gibbons (Blue Jays): 30/1
  • FIELD: 6/1
Kevin Cash
Kevin Cash’s time with the Rays could be coming to an end soon. (Photo credit: Arturo Paravila III (Flickr) CC License)

2018 Manager of the Year Odds

  • Joe Maddon (Cubs): 9/1
  • Dave Roberts (Dodgers): 9/1
  • Terry Francona (Indians): 12/1
  • Aaron Boone (Yankees): 12/1
  • Dave Martinez (Nationals): 15/1
  • Craig Counsell (Brewers): 15/1
  • Paul Molitor (Twins): 15/1
  • Alex Cora (Red Sox): 20/1
  • A.J. Hinch (Astros): 25/1
  • Mike Scioscia (Angels): 30/1
  • FIELD: 2/1

Pitching Odds

Chicks may dig the long ball, but 100 MPH fastballs get plenty of love too. We have the odds on which hurler will throw the fastest pitch, who will toss the season’s first no-hitter, and who will get dealt first.

Which pitcher will record the fastest pitch of the season

  • Aroldis Chapman (Yankees): 2/1
  • Joe Kelly (Red Sox): 3/1
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): 4/1
  • Trevor Rosenthal (free agent): 9/1
  • Ken Giles (Astros): 15/1
  • FIELD: 19/1

Over/Under fastest pitch of the season: 104.1 MPH

Over/Under on when the first no-hitter of the season will be thrown: June 21

First pitcher to throw a no-hitter

  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): 19/1
  • Max Scherzer (Nationals): 24/1
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): 25/1
  • Chris Sale (Red Sox): 49/1
  • Ervin Santana (Twins): 49/1
  • FIELD: 1/5

First starting pitcher (in a team’s five-man rotation) traded

  • James Shields (White Sox): 5/2
  • Chris Archer (Rays): 7/2
  • David Price (Red Sox): 5/1
  • Marcus Stroman (Blue Jays): 8/1
  • Jon Duplantier (Diamondbacks): 11/1
  • FIELD: 7/1

Over/Under innings pitched for Shohei Ohtani (Angels): 100

Over/Under home runs for Shohei Ohtani: 8.5

Tim Tebow
Tim Tebow has been the talk of baseball since beginning his Minor League career.
(Photo credit: Sport Spectrum (Wikimedia Commons) CC License)

Tim Tebow Odds

One of the most fascinating storylines out of Spring Training involves a player who’s unlikely to get a Major League at-bat in 2018. We’re talking about Heisman winner Tim Tebow, who began his baseball career in earnest last summer by hitting .226 with eight home runs and 52 RBIs in Single-A. The 30-year-old is a little long in the tooth for a rookie, but he has the kind of power and athleticism that might just earn him a trip to the bigs one day.

Odds Tim Tebow ever signs a Major League contract: 7/1

Odds on which team Tim Tebow signs a Major League contract with

  • New York Mets: 2/3
  • New York Yankees: 4/1
  • Colorado Rockies: 19/1
  • Atlanta Braves: 25/1
  • Tampa Bay Rays: 30/1
  • FIELD: 12/1

Over/Under career Major League games for Tim Tebow: 0.5

Odds Tim Tebow ever hits a Major League home run: 74/1

You can find more Tim Tebow odds at Bovada. [See our full Bovada sportsbook review here.]

Base-Brawl Odds

Think baseball is just a quaint pastoral game? Think again! We have the odds on which players and teams are mostly likely to brawl in 2018.

Which of last season’s brawlers will fight again 

  • Bryce Harper (WAS) vs Hunter Strickland (SF): 3/2
  • Michael Fulmer (DET) vs Gary Sanchez (NYY): 3/1
  • Francisco Cervelli (PIT) vs Tony Wolters (COL): 7/1
  • Miguel Sano (MIN) vs James McCann (DET): 10/1
  • Mike Napoli (FA) vs Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU): 25/1

Over/Under date of the first bench-clearing incident of the season: April 20

Which teams will brawl first

  • Red Sox vs Yankees: 8/1
  • Nationals vs Giants: 8/1
  • Cubs vs Cardinals: 12/1
  • Rangers vs Astros: 15/1
  • Tigers vs Yankees: 15/1
  • Braves vs Mets: 19/1
  • FIELD: 5/6

Pace of Play Odds

The average nine-inning game lasted three hours and five minutes last season. That was nearly five minutes longer than 2016, and Major League Baseball has wisely responded to the situation by introducing a series of new rules designed to improve pace of play, including limiting the number of mound visits a team is allowed each game to six. We have the odds below on whether they’ll actually work. Spoiler alert: they won’t.

Over/under length of the longest nine-inning game of the regular season: 3:59

Over/under length of the shortest game of the season: 2:07

Average length of games this season: 3:01

First team to exceed new limits on number of mound visits

  • San Diego Padres: 13/1
  • Miami Marlins: 15/1
  • Oakland A’s: 17/1
  • Cincinnati Reds: 18/1
  • Detroit Tigers: 19/1
  • FIELD: 2/5

Miscellaneous Odds

Still hungry for more odds? You’re in luck! We’ve put together a tasty collection of miscellaneous odds that touch upon some of this season’s most (and least) captivating characters and teams.

Odds Derek Jeter will be booed at his first Miami Marlins home game: 1/4

Which home game will Derek Jeter attend first

  • March 29 vs Cubs: 1/3
  • March 30 vs Cubs: 9/1
  • March 31 vs Cubs: 20/1
  • April 2 vs Red Sox: 25/1
  • OTHER/FIELD: 15/1

All-Star Game winner odds

  • American League: 5/6
  • National League: 6/5

Lowest attendance odds 

  • Tampa Bay Rays: 2/1
  • Miami Marlins: 5/2
  • Oakland A’s: 3/1
  • Chicago White Sox: 12/1
  • Pittsburgh Pirates: 25/1
  • FIELD: 49/1

Odds Mike Trout finishes second in the AL MVP balloting for the fourth time in his career: 3/2

Darren Myers

Darren Myers can list all 35 members of the Miracle Mets, knows every word to Casey at the Bat, and remembers exactly where he was when Michael Jordan scored 63 points against the Celtics in the Boston Garden. Unfortunately, he has no idea where he left his house keys. If you happen to find them please contact him immediately as it's starting to get dark and he's pretty sure he just heard something howl.

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