Kyle Larson Picked For NASCAR South Point 400 Victory

Only eight contenders remain as the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs roll into Las Vegas for the South Point 400. The field was cut from 12 to 8 after last week’s showdown in Charlotte, setting the stage for a high-stakes battle in Sin City. With just four races separating the drivers from the championship, every lap now carries added weight. Let’s analyze some of the top contenders for the South Point 400.

  • What? NASCAR Cup Series: South Point 400
  • Where? Las Vegas Motor Speedway in Las Vegas, NV
  • When? Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 5.30p.m. ET

South Point 400 Odds

Below are the South Point 400 odds from three of the best NASCAR betting sites.

South Point 400Bovada Sportsbook Review 2025Lucky Rebel Sportsbook & Casino Review 2025BetUS Sportsbook Review 2025
Kyle Larson+400+400+400
Christopher Bell+500+500+450
Denny Hamlin+550+550+500
Ryan Blaney+800+800+800
William Byron+800+800+800
Chase Briscoe+1200+1200+1000
Chase Elliott+1200+1200+1200
Joey Logano+1200+1200+1000
Tyler Reddick+1600+1600+1600
Ross Chastain+2000+2000+1600

Kyle Larson (+400)

Kyle Larson narrowly missed out on the win at the Charlotte ROVAL, settling for a strong second-place finish. While victory slipped through his fingers, the result was more than enough to keep his championship push alive as he moved on to the Round of 8.

Heading into Las Vegas, Larson once again finds himself among the frontrunners. The Hendrick Motorsports standout owns three career victories at the desert track and has consistently been a force there. With his playoff momentum intact, he’ll look to cash in another win under the bright lights of Sin City. Larson is the pick to win the South Point 400.

Kyle LarsonTo Win NASCAR South Point 400
★★★★★
+400
Bet now

You can read our Bovada sportsbook review for much more information about this sportsbook.

Christopher Bell (+500)

Christopher Bell delivered another solid showing at the Charlotte ROVAL, securing a third-place finish to keep his strong playoff campaign rolling in 2025. It marked yet another top-five result for the No. 20 team, showcasing their consistency when it matters most.

As the series shifts to Las Vegas, Bell will look to build on that momentum. He’s been close to victory in Sin City before, recording two second-place finishes, but has yet to seal the deal. This weekend presents another prime opportunity for Bell to finally conquer the track and punch his ticket back into the Championship 4.

Denny Hamlin (+550)

Denny Hamlin’s weekend at Charlotte was one to forget, as contact involving Ross Chastain and Joey Logano left him mired in 23rd place. It was a disappointing finish for the No. 11 team, but Hamlin will aim to turn the page quickly as the playoffs move forward.

The Joe Gibbs Racing veteran has tasted victory at Las Vegas before, earning his lone win there in 2021. With a spot in the Championship 4 on the line, Hamlin knows a strong performance in Sin City could be the key to keeping his title hopes alive and shifting his sights toward Phoenix.

Ryan Blaney (+800)

Ryan Blaney wrapped up his day at the Charlotte ROVAL with a 13th-place finish, a modest result but enough to keep his championship ambitions alive entering the Round of 8. The defending champion continues to show flashes of the pace needed to contend as the playoffs tighten.

Las Vegas, however, remains one of the few tracks that’s eluded him. Despite never taking the checkered flag there, Blaney posted an impressive third-place finish in 2024 and has shown steady improvement on the mile-and-a-half oval. With momentum building, the Team Penske driver will look to finally capture his first win under the Nevada lights.

William Byron (+800)

ChatGPT said:

William Byron brought home an 11th-place finish at the Charlotte ROVAL, a solid if unspectacular result for the No. 24 team. It wasn’t the breakout run they hoped for, but it kept Byron in the thick of the playoff fight as the field tightens heading into the next round.

Now, the Hendrick Motorsports driver heads back to a familiar and favorable venue. Byron captured the checkered flag at Las Vegas in the spring of 2023, and he’ll be aiming to recreate that magic this weekend. With the playoff stakes climbing, another win in Sin City could be his ticket back into the Championship 4 conversation.

Chase Elliott (+1200)

Chase Elliott continued his steady late-season form with an eighth-place finish at the Charlotte ROVAL, marking another dependable result for the No. 9 team. His consistency has kept him firmly in the playoff mix as the pressure ramps up heading into the final stretch.

Las Vegas, though, remains one of the few tracks missing from Elliott’s win column. The 2021 runner-up has come close before, and this weekend offers another chance to finally conquer the mile-and-a-half oval. A breakthrough victory in Sin City would not only end that drought but also boost his pursuit of a second NASCAR Cup Series championship.

Chase Briscoe (+1200)

Chase Briscoe turned in a solid effort at the Charlotte ROVAL, crossing the line in 14th after a smooth, incident-free day behind the wheel. It was a steady outing for the Joe Gibbs Racing newcomer, showing progress as he continues to settle in with his new team.

As the series heads to Las Vegas, Briscoe will aim to build on that momentum. The desert track hasn’t been particularly kind to him in the past, with his best showing being a fourth-place finish back in 2022. Now, armed with JGR equipment, he’ll be pushing to match — or even surpass — that result and make a statement in Sin City.

Tyler Reddick (+1600)

Tyler Reddick fought his way to a 10th-place finish at the Charlotte ROVAL, adding another top-10 result to his 2025 campaign. Despite the strong run, it wasn’t quite enough to extend his playoff journey, as he fell short of advancing to the next round.

Even without championship implications, Reddick still has plenty of motivation heading into Las Vegas. He’s yet to capture a win at the track but came agonizingly close with a runner-up finish in a previous visit. Known for his prowess on intermediate ovals, the 23XI Racing driver remains a legitimate threat — and a potential spoiler — in Sunday’s South Point 400.

Below is our partner table of the best offshore sportsbooks where you can place your South Point 400 bets.

Badge ranking partner

1

★★★★★

Bonus

225% up to $3,125

Bet Now
Badge ranking partner

2

★★★★★

Bonus

125% up to $1,250

Bet Now
Badge ranking partner

3

★★★★☆

Bonus

100% up to $1,000

Bet Now

Henry Shepherd

Henry’s career kicked off in the betting industry before he transitioned into the world of writing. Specializing in soccer, golf, and darts, he also covers an extensive range of sports on a global scale. With a BA Honors degree in Business and Management, Henry rose through the ranks at William Hill in England. In addition to his work as a sports writer, Hen...

Read More About the Author