NASCAR Betting; Truex Jr Favored For Race He Has To Win

The 24th NASCAR race of the 2022 season is from Richmond, Virginia, and after another long-priced winner last weekend, we are hoping for more of the same from our free Federated Auto Parts 400 betting picks.

We’re fast running out of regular season races in the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series, and with only two more to go after Sunday, this is a huge race for drivers sitting outside of the playoffs looking to force their way into the reckoning.

Richmond Raceway is known as America’s Premier Short Track. Due to its unique D-shaped Oval circuit, drivers can reach excessive speeds, which in turn makes it a firm fan’s favorite on the Cup Series circuit.

  • What; Federated Auto Parts 400
  • Where; Richmond Raceway, Richmond, Virginia
  • When; Sunday, August 14th, 2022
  • Green Flag; 3 pm ET
  • Race Distance; 300 Miles
  • Laps; 400

Last year’s race was won by Martin Truex Jr, which is reflected in the betting with the best online sportsbooks for this year’s race, which we will come to later.

Truex Jr is one of those drivers sitting just outside the top 16 and in danger of missing the playoffs. So the 2017 Cup Series champions will be hoping the best online sportsbooks have called it correctly, and history will repeat itself this Sunday.

What Happened at FireKeepers in NASCAR last week?

Last Sunday saw Kevin Harvick roll back the years and become the 15th different driver to win a Cup Series race this season. The 2014 Cup Series champion ended a drought of 65 races with the win, which also happened to be his fifth win in his last seven races on this circuit.

The win also all but ensures he will gain a spot at the end-of-season playoffs. Another appearance in the postseason will continue Harvick’s run of being the only driver to have qualified for every NASCAR playoff since the introduction of this format back in 2014.

Elsewhere, championship points leader Chase Elliott finished down in eleventh. His Hendrick Motorsports teammate and defending Cup Series champion, Kyle Larson finished in seventh place.

Despite Larson getting the better of Elliott for once of late, it hasn’t stopped Elliott from becoming even shorter to win this year’s title. The 2020 champion is now just +250 with some of the best NASCAR betting sites to win his second title. Ahead of the FireKeepers, the same bookmaker had Elliott at +400.

There are still decent prices around for Elliott to win. At Xbet, he is available at +360, with Chastain at +670. I’m not sure how long that price will last on Elliott, so it might be worth grabbing it fast.

Second in the betting for the 2022 title is Ross Chastain at +670, with two times champion Kyle Busch (2015 and 2019) at +750. Kyle Larson completes the top four in the betting odds at +800.

Who is the Favorite to win the Federated Auto Parts 400?

Toyota’s are dominating the betting odds to win at Richmond, with Martin Truex Jr and Denny Hamlin leading the odds. Depending on where you bet, will depend on who the favorite is. We’re using the odds from Bovada, who have Truex Jr and Hamlin both at +600, with Kyle Busch next at +700, and Christopher Bell at +800.

After that comes the Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet cars, with championship leader Chase Elliott at +900, and his teammate Kyle Larson at +1000.

Federated Auto Parts 400 NASCAR OddsBetOnlineBovada
Martin Truex Jr+600+600
Denny Hamlin+600+600
Kyle Busch+700+700
Christopher Bell+800+800
Chase Elliott+900+800
Kyle Larson+1000+1000
Ross Chastain+1200+1200
Ryan Blaney+1200+1400
Kevin Harvick+1500+1500
Joey Logano+1500+1500
William Byron+2000+1600
Tyler Reddick+2000+1600
Bubba Wallace+2500+2000
Daniel Suarez+2500+2000

I would expect the odds on Hamlin and Truex Jr to flip-flop around in the build-up to the race, especially given that Truex Jr dropped out of the playoff positions last week. Punters may think that the Joe Gibbs Racing man will have extra incentive to win this Sunday.

Truex Jr also happens to be the guy who won here 12 months ago. On that day he overcame a drive-through penalty to hold off the challenge from teammates, Denny Hamlin and Christopher Bell for the win.

Federated Auto Parts 400 Betting Picks

As mentioned above, Toyota drivers dominate the top of the betting, and that’s because the manufacturer has won five of the last seven races here. They also filled the top 3 spots last year at this circuit. So a Toyota driver can be expected to be included in my NASCAR picks this weekend.

Christopher Bell +800

And I’m going for one of my favorite drivers this season, Christopher Bell, who won his first race this season at New Hampshire last month and has been in decent form in recent weeks.

Yes, those odds on Bell were longer back in July, but I think at +800, Christopher Bell is a worthwhile pick this weekend at Richmond.

Christopher BellTo Win Federated Auto Parts 400
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Kyle Larson +1000

A few weeks back I didn’t expect to be writing down the name of Kyle Larson as my outside bet, but that’s exactly what I’m doing here.

Larson has had a disappointing season compared to last year, but he has the skill, team, and car to win.

This is nothing other than a law of averages pick, down to the fact that I think Larson is due a win and is at good odds. So, I make Kyle Larson at +1000 my second NASCAR pick at Richmond.

Kyle LarsonTo Win Federated Auto Parts 400
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Dean Etheridge

Dean has spent the last 10 years editing, and writing for his own football and cricket betting websites. He is passionate about sports and betting, and enjoys writing about both topics. In his spare time, Dean loves to spend time with his family, although he believes they just think he is their taxi driver!

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