Florida State Best Long Shot Bet to make the 2023-24 College Football Playoffs

  • Georgia (-230) is viewed as a lock to make the 2023-24 College Football Playoffs
  • Ohio State (-115) and Michigan (+125) are unlikely to both secure spots in the tournament again
  • “Week 0” of the college football season kicks off on Saturday, Aug. 26, 2023

With the College Football Playoffs set to expand to 12 teams starting in 2024, this is the last season with only four spots up for grabs. Two-time reigning national champion Georgia looks like a sure thing to secure a bid – but what other three programs will join the Bulldogs in the four-team tournament?

Before we look at the odds to make the playoffs, be sure to check out our 2023-24 College Football Betting Resources and our tips for betting on the NCAAF National Championship.

2023-24 NCAAF – To Make The Playoffs

TeamTo Make PlayoffsBetOnline Review
Florida StateNo-400
North CarolinaNo-10000
Notre DameNo-900
Ohio StateNo-115
Penn StateNo-600
Texas A&MNo-2500

The Caleb Williams factor

Before getting crushed by Utah in the Pac-12 Championship Game, USC (+250) had a playoff spot in their sights. Not only do the Trojans have Caleb Williams, the expected No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, under center. They have head coach Lincoln Riley, who took Oklahoma to the CFP tournament in four-of-five years between 2016 and 2020.

Heading into year two in Southern California, Riley has firmed up his defense through the transfer portal. With Williams favored to become the first repeat Heisman Trophy winner in almost a half-century, USC should run away with the Pac-10.

Roll Tide!

Alabama is +145 despite making the College Football Playoff in seven-of-nine years since it replaced the old BCS title game system. That’s more than any other college football program. While Nick Saban’s club missed the tournament last year, they lost two contests against Tennessee and LSU by a combined four points.

If a quality starter emerges from their three-man quarterback competition, the Crimson Tide will roll into the postseason once again.

USCTo Make Playoffs
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Fade the Buckeyes

For the first time ever, the College Football Playoff featured two teams from the Big Ten in 2022. So, while Ohio State and Michigan look like national title contenders, it’s unlikely both receive an invite to the dance again. Especially since one team will be coming off a high-profile loss following their end-of-November meeting at the Big House.

After losing eight-straight games in the rivalry, the Wolverines have two blowout victories in a row. Jim Harbaugh also has consistency at quarterback and his most-talented roster yet, while Ryan Day is in year one without C.J. Stroud. We like OSU to miss at -115.

Best Longshot

With Georgia (-230), Alabama (+145) and Michigan (+125) locked in, who will be our fourth-team in the tournament? It probably comes down to Clemson (+300) or Florida State (+300) and the Seminoles have a definitive advantage at quarterback. Jordan Travis is one of the top signal-callers in the country and a legit Heisman contender.

While their schedule isn’t easy, Florida State will have a chance to flex their muscles against two sets of Tigers (LSU and Clemson) in the season’s first month. If they ace those tests, the Seminoles will punch their ticket the CFP for the first time since 2014-15.

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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.