The French Open men’s tournament looks wide open this year, but the favorite Carlos Alcaraz will take some stopping at Roland Garros.
Who do Bettors Favor?
Checking out the best-rated online sportsbooks we can see that bettors now favor Carlos Alcaraz over his rival Novak Djokovic in the Grand Slam betting markets. Alcaraz is +135 to win the second Grand Slam of the year, while Djokovic is rated as a +220 chance. Holger Rune and Stefanos Tsitsipas are the next options in the futures market, followed by Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner.
|Men's Singles Winner|
2023 ATP French Open Betting Briefing
The French Open at Roland Garros is the second Grand Slam event of the tennis year and one of the most recognizable. Played on traditional red clay, it is the highlight of the European clay court season, which has been building up to this event over the last few weeks.
Clay court tennis, perhaps more than grass court tennis, lends itself to specialists. Although there are fast clay courts, such as the indoor court at Stuttgart and, to an extent, the green clay of Charleston, in general, clay is a slower surface than grass or hard court. Players who rely on a powerful serve and short rallies often struggle on this surface, while those who can endure long rallies and employ heavy topspin will be in their element, while the ability to slide effectively on the loose surface is another essential skill.
2023 ATP French Open Favorites
The ultimate clay court player – although more than a clay specialist – is of course, Rafael Nadal, but this year the 14-time French Open champion is out through injury, which opens the door to some of his rivals to grab a Grand Slam title that he has monopolized since 2005.
Nadal’s absence isn’t the only factor leading to an open-looking French Open this year. Novak Djokovic would usually be the main beneficiary of a Nadal absence in France, but the Serbian looked way short of his best on the clay courts of Rome, and dropped to number three seed for this tournament, which means he could meet the tournament favorite Carlos Alcaraz in the semi-finals.
Alcaraz also disappointed in Rome, but he had previously won in Madrid and Barcelona and there is little doubt around his clay court credentials. He may be the shortest price in the field but with Djokovic out of form it is hard to see anyone stopping the Spanish ace on his way to the French Open title.
CTA Alcaraz win +135 BetOnline
2023 ATP French Open Contenders
If Alcaraz slips up on the French clay, there are several leading French Open contenders who could take advantage, with Daniil Medvedev likely to attract plenty of interest after his Rome heroics. Medvedev has historically been at his worst on the clay, and that probably explains why his odds are still relatively big for a player who has just won a Masters 1000 event and has five titles in his collection this year.
Medvedev is the fifth favorite with some sportsbooks and he is being severely underestimated. The conditions in Rome were as tough as clay gets, yet Medvedev came through that challenge impressively, so it no longer makes sense to regard him as a player who struggles on clay.
The other contender to consider is Jannik Sinner. Although he has only won one title this season, he has looked better than ever, and his power and placement of shots has been impeccable, while his return game has improved dramatically. He has a career-high win percentage in 2023 and has matched some of the best players around so has to be worth a look in Paris.
2023 ATP French Open Underdogs
If you’re looking for a little lower value down in the betting, there are some interesting underdogs worth checking out, including Lorenzo Musetti. The Italian star has been in peak form in recent days, beating Djokovic on his way to the Monte Carlo quarter-finals and then losing only narrowly to Stefanos Tsitsipas in the semi-finals in Barcelona. He has also beaten Alcaraz, Stan Wawrinka, Cam Norrie and Felix Auger-Aliassime on clay, so has impeccable credentials.
The other name to consider when you’re looking out for an underdog is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Last year he was runner-up in Monte Carlo, beating Djokovic on his way to the final, and this year he has once again shown his best form on the red stuff, overcoming Holger Rune, one of the best clay courters around and pushing Alcaraz all the way in their last eight game in Barcelona. He is a big price, but that could come down dramatically over the course of the two weeks and he looks an ideal value pick.