- What: UFC on ABC 5
- Co-Main Event: Amanda Ribas vs. Maycee Barber
- Date: Saturday, June 24, 2023
- Location: VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Florida
- Time: Prelims (11:30 a.m. ET) Main Card (3:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: Prelims: ESPN, Main Card: ABC
On Saturday, June 24, the UFC is back on ABC with an afternoon fight card that features a featherweight main event scrap between Josh Emmett and Ilia Topuria. In the card’s co-main event, Amanda Ribas, who is the No. 9 fighter in the official UFC women’s flyweight rankings, faces the No. 11 ranked Maycee Barber. Here is some background on Saturday’s co-main event fighters before we discuss the betting breakdown for UFC on ABC 5.
Amanda Ribas has a 12-3 career record with three knockouts, four submissions, and five decisions. The 29-year-old is coming off a March decision win over Viviane Araujo. As for Maycee Barber, she is 12-2 over her career with five KOs, two submissions, and five decisions. The 25-year-old is riding a four-fight winning streak. Barber’s most recent win was a March split-decision victory over Andrea Lee.
Before we look at the best bets for the co-main event of the UFC on ABC 5 card between Amanda Ribas and Maycee Barber, check out the best UFC betting sites and where you can find the best odds on all the UFC fights.
UFC on ABC 5 co-main event: Amanda Ribas vs. Maycee Barber betting picks
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Amanda Ribas vs. Maycee Barber betting breakdown
Amanda Ribas is a very aggressive fighter. She looks to use forward pressure and high striking output to put her opponent on her back foot. Her striking, which she mixes up well, using punches and kicks, mainly to the head and legs, could be more crisp and technical. However, Ribas’ goal is not to score a knockout, but to close distance and create opportunities for takedowns. Ribas is good on the ground, where she uses top pressure, strikes, and submission techniques to rack up control time and prevent her opponent from scoring with the judges.
Maycee Barber is a better technical striker than Ribas. She will look to use that advantage to keep the fight standing. Barber should also be able to score on counters, as Ribas tends to leave herself open due to her low defensive striking guard. If Barber can keep the fight at distance, she should be able to score enough points to secure a victory. However, Barber could be better at defending takedowns and has shown some issues with regaining her feet once the fight hits the mat.
Amanda Ribas vs. Maycee Barber statistical breakdown
These two women are very close when it comes to statistics. Ribas land slightly more significant strikes per minute at 4.80 to her opponent’s 4.27. Meanwhile, Ribas is more accurate at 51 percent to her foe’s 42 percent. As for significant strikes absorbed, Ribas gets hit 2.65 times per minute, and Barber gets tagged 2.63 times in 60 seconds.
Where Ribas has an advantage is in the grappling department. She exceeds Barber in every tracked grappling category, landing 2.16 takedowns per 15 minutes to Barber’s 1.23. Ribas’ takedown accuracy is 52 percent as compared to Barber’s 37 percent, and her takedown defense is 88 percent as compared to Barber’s 47 percent.
In short, if this fight stays standing for all three rounds, Barber has a chance to win. However, the longer the fighters spend on the mat, the more likely it is that Ribas will get her hand raised in victory.
Best Bets for UFC on ABC 5 co-main event: Amanda Ribas vs. Maycee Barber
As mentioned above, if Maycee Barber can keep this fight standing, she has a good chance of winning on the scorecards. With that, considering the betting odds Barber is getting, a value bet on her winning by way of decision is not out of line. It might even be worth placing a small value wager on her winning via knockout. However, I don’t see Barber getting the nod. Her takedown defense is weak, and Ribas should not have all that much trouble keeping her on that mat when she gets things there. With that, the best bet for the UFC on ABC 5 co-main event is to pick Amanda Ribas to beat Maycee Barber by decision.
Best UFC on ABC 5 co-main event betting pick: Amanda Ribas to beat Maycee Barber by decision.
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