- What: UFC on ABC fight card
- Main Event: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Jailton Almeida
- Date: Saturday, May 13, 2023
- Location: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
- Time: Prelims (11:30 a.m. ET) Main Card (3:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: Prelims (ESPN+). Main Card (ABC)
On Saturday, May 13, the UFC presents UFC on ABC 4. The card starts with ESPN prelims at 11:30 a.m. The ABC main card starts at 3 p.m. A heavyweight contest between two fighters ranked among the top 15 in the official UFC heavyweight rankings, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Jailton Almeida serves as the headliner. Here is some background on the main event fighters before we discuss, in detail, the betting breakdown of the UFC on ABC 4: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Jailton Almeida fight card.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik enters Saturday’s fight card with a 13-4 record. The 35-year-old started his career on a 10-0 run. However, Rozenstruik is 3-4 in his past seven outings with the UFC. He is coming off a December 2022 knockout win over Chris Daukaus. That victory ended the first two-fight losing skid of his career.
Jailton Almeida comes into UFC on ABC 4 at 18-2. The 31-year-old is unbeaten since joining the UFC in 2022 with three promotional victories. Almeida has not gone the distance as a member of the UFC roster, scoring two first-round submission wins and a second round knockout victory. The No. 12 ranked fighter in the official UFC heavyweight rankings, Almeida is coming off a January TKO win over Shamil Abdurakhimov.
Before we look at the best bets for the main event of the UFC on ABC 4 card between Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Jailton Almeida, check out the best UFC betting sites and where you can find the best odds on all the UFC fights.
UFC on ABC 4 main event: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Jailton Almeida betting picks
|To win UFC on ABC 4 Main Event|
Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Jailton Almeida betting breakdown
One thing that stands out on the records of Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Jailton Almeida is the lack of decisions. Rozenstruik has gone the distance three times in his career. He is 1-2 in those outings. Outside of those three fights, Rozenstruik either wins by knockout or loses by knockout and more often than not, he wins. He has 12 KO victories and two defeats by knockout – one to former UFC champion Francis Ngannou and the other to current No. 7 UFC heavyweight Alexander Volkov.
Almeida has gone the distance once in his career, and that came in 2018 when he dropped a decision to Bruno Assis under the Shooto banner. Seven of Almeida’s wins have come by way of knockout and 11 via submission.
When looking at the background of these two men, Rozenstruik had a lengthy kickboxing career before moving to MMA, while Almeida has a grappling base. He holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Jailton Almeida statistical breakdown
Jairzinho Rozenstruik relies mainly on his power to win fights. He lands 2.93 significant strikes per minute, but he absorbs 3.23 significant strikes per minute. Rozenstruik has yet to attempt a takedown in his 11 UFC fights. His takedown defense rate is 75 percent.
Jailton Almeida is an active striker, landing 4.19 significant strikes per minute. At the same time, he is elusive in his defense, only absorbing 0.34 significant strikes per minute. Almeida’s striking is not bad, but he tends to use it to set up his takedowns, where he lands an average of 6.73 per 15 minutes.
One concern with Almeida is that he usually weighs in well below the heavyweight limit. At UFC 283, he checked in at 232 pounds.
Best UFC on ABC 4 Bets
The betting odds for the UFC on ABC main event contest between Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Jailton Almeida are very much in favor of the more well-rounded and athletic competitor in this bout, Jailton Almeida. Picking Almeida to win is the safe bet for Saturday, but it presents little value. If you want to get a value bet in for the UFC on ABC 4 fight card, pick Almeida to win via submission before the halfway point of the fight. Another UFC on ABC bet to consider would be to pick Rozenstruik to win via knockout. If he wins on Saturday, it will be in that manner.
Best UFC on ABC betting pick: Jailton Almeida to defeat Jairzinho Rozenstruik via submission.
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