- What: UFC Vegas 74 fight card
- Co-Main Event: Kai Kara-France vs. Amir Albazi
- Date: Saturday, June 3, 2023
- Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada
- Time: Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET) Main Card (9:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: ESPN+ and ESPN
The UFC Vegas 74 fight card takes place on June 3 at UFC Apex. The card, also known as UFC on ESPN 46, features a flyweight main event. In that scrap, Kai Kara-France, who is the No. 3 fighter in the official UFC flyweight rankings, faces No. 7 ranked Amir Albazi. Here is some background on the competitors before we discuss the betting breakdown for the UFC Vegas 74 fight card.
Kai Kara-France has not fought since his three-fight winning streak ended in June 2022 when he fell to Brandon Moreno in an interim title fight at UFC 277. Moreno, who is currently the undisputed UFC flyweight champion, defeated Kara-France via TKO in the third round of their matchup. The 30-year-old Kara France has a career record of 24-10-0-1. He has 11 knockout wins, three submission victories, and 10 decision triumphs to his name.
Amir Albazi enters the UFC on ESPN 46 fight card riding a five-fight winning streak. That run includes four wins under the UFC banner. The 29-year-old is coming off a December knockout win over Alessandro Costa. That stoppage was the fifth knockout of Albazi’s career. His overall record is 16-1. In addition to his five knockouts, Albazi has nine submission wins and two victories via decision.
Before we look at the best bets for the main event of the UFC Vegas 74 card between Kai Kara-France and Amir Albazi, check out the best UFC betting sites and where you can find the best odds on all the UFC fights.
UFC Vegas 74 main event: Kai Kara-France vs. Amir Albazi betting picks
Kai Kara-France vs. Amir Albazi betting breakdown
Kai Kara-France is at a crossroads. He is young enough to continue to threaten for a UFC title. However, he is coming off a knockout loss to the current UFC champion. Because of that setback, it is imperative for his career trajectory that he gets a win when he faces the rising Amir Albazi at UFC Vegas 74.
Kara-France comes out of City Kickboxing, which is one of the best MMA gyms in the world when it comes to preparing fighters for specific opponents and career growth. Kara-France is a well-rounded competitor who has a lot of speed and toughness. He is capable on his feet and on the mat, and I doubt the loss to Moreno will shake his confidence or change his aggressive approach to fighting any opponent.
Albazi has never faced a ranked UFC opponent and never fought in a five-round UFC contest. This fight will not change his career trajectory that much if he loses. However, if he wins, Albazi will immediately become a potential title challenger for Moreno. The question entering this contest is if he is ready to take that big step against someone as talented and accomplished as Kara-France. Like his opponent, Albazi is comfortable in every aspect of the MMA game, and he has looked the part of a flyweight contender since he made his UFC debut in 2021. But again, the concern is that the UFC is throwing him far too deep into the talent pool against someone like Kara-France.
Kai Kara-France vs. Amir Albazi statistical breakdown
Kara-France and Albazi are physically similar. Kara-France has a one-inch reach advantage, while Albazi is one inch taller than his opponent. When it comes to landing significant strikes, kara-France is the more active of the two, with a landing rate of 4.70 per minute, while Albazi lands at a rate of 3.54 significant strikes per minute. Albazi is the more accurate striker, landing 43 percent of his significant strike attempts to 40 percent for Kara-France. As for striking defense, Kara-France gets hit a bit more than Albazi at 3.57 significant strikes absorbed per minute vs. 2.47 percent.
Most of the grappling stats favor Albazi. He lands more takedowns per 15 minutes (2.47 vs. 0.51), has better takedown accuracy (50 percent vs. 25 percent), and attempts more submissions per 15 minutes (0.8 vs. 0.0). However, Kara-France’s takedown defense of 87 percent dwarfs Albazi’s 66 percent defense rate.
Best UFC Vegas 74 Bets
As the odds, physical attributes, and stats indicate, the matchup between Kai Kara-France and Amir Albazi is nearly even. The one difference in this contest is high-level UFC experience. Kara-France, a member of the UFC roster since 2018, has the advantage in that aspect of the fight game, and that is going to make the difference in this UFC on ESPN 46 fight card.
The best bets for Kara-France vs. Albazi is for the fight to go the five-round distance and for the bout to end in a decision. If one is looking for a value bet, because of how evenly these two are matched and because the contest is scheduled for five rounds, placing a wager on a draw as the fight outcome also presents a good value, but that UFC Vegas 74 bet should be a small one. As for the victor, Kara-France to win is the best bet.
Best UFC Vegas 74 betting pick: Kai Kara-France to beat Amir Albazi via decision.
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