2023 Surf Ranch Pro Picks; Toledo and Moore favored for wins

The 2023 World Surf League (WSL) continues this weekend with the Surf Ranch Pro event taking place at Lemoore California. The defending champions are Filipe Toledo in the men’s, and Johanne Defay in the women’s. Below we take a look at their chances of defending their titles with our latest Surfing betting picks.

  • What; World Surf League 2023 – Surf Ranch Pro
  • Where; Lemoore, California, United States
  • When; May, 27th-28th, 2023

The Surf Ranch Pro is Event 6 of the Championship Tour. There is both a men and women’s competition, and with a new format being introduced this year that sees competitors eliminated from the opening qualifying round, the pressure is on right from the start.

When this event was held in 2018, it became the first ever WSL event to be staged in an artificial wave pool. This obviously makes this event unique, as a slightly different skills set is required.

There was no competition in 2022, but in 2021 the men’s competition was won by Brazil’s Filipe Toledo, who beat compatriot Gabriel Medina into second place. Over in the women’s competition, Johanne Defay of France was victorious, with Carissa Moore the runner-up.

Surf Ranch Pro Betting; Men’s Event

From the five WSL events we’ve had so far in the 2023 season, we’ve seen five different winners. At the moment, Joao Chianca leads the overall standings, with last year’s WSL men’s champion, Filipe Toledo in second place. Toledo is the favorite to win and retain his title though, at the moment Toledo is +325, just ahead of Jack Robinson and the table topping Chianca, who are both +400.

In the betting to win the Surf Ranch Pro, it’s Filipe Toledo and Gabriel Medina leading the way. Both surfers are +300. Toledo is the 2021 Surf Ranch champion, Medina the 2018 and 2019 winner. Both guys know what they are doing here.

In fact, for both of Medina’s wins, Toledo was the runner-up. And for Toledo’s win, Medina was the second placed surfer. These two seem to have a hold on this event at the moment. But with five different winners on the men’s tour so far this year, could this be the season that their hold breaks?

Behind Toledo and Medina in the betting to win the Surf Pro is John John Florence. Florence currently sits sixth in the World Championship table, and has yet to register a WSL event win this year. The best Florence has managed is two third places in the Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach (event 4), and the Margaret River Pro (event 5). If nothing else, Florence has shown he is coming into form, and he can be backed to win at +600.

2023 Surf Ranch Pro; Men's WinnerBetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review
Filipe Toledo+300+300+300
Gabriel Medina+300+300+300
John John Florence+600+600+600
Griffin Colapinto+700+700+700
Jack Robinson+800+800+800
Ethan Ewing+1200+1200+1200
Italo Ferreira+1200+1200+1200
Yago Dora+1400+1400+1400

The above odds are taken from the best online sportsbooks. You can read more about them on our best sports betting apps and mobile options page.

Our Men’s Pick

It’s pretty clear that Filipe Toledo and Gabriel Medina have proven track records here, and it’s not difficult to see why they are joint favorites. At +300, it’s possible to back both and be in profit, but those odds aren’t really long enough to be hedging our betting picks.

In their most recent events, Toledo has been 5th, 3rd, and 17th. Medina has been 1st, 9th, and 9th. Toledo has been more consistent this season, but Medina is arriving here on the back of a victory.

It’s a real close call, but we feel we need to go with Filipe Toledo. He has the most recent win at this venue, and has also been the more consistent performer in the WSL this season.

Filipe ToledoTo win 2023 Surf Ranch Pro
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Surf Ranch Pro Betting; Women’s Event

In the women’s event, it’s the 2018 champion and the 2021 runner-up, Carissa Moore who leads the betting at +300. Moore is followed by the trio of Tyler Wright, Caroline Marks, Stephanie Gilmore, who are all at +600.

In this event in 2021, Carissa Moore was runner-up to Johanne Defay. Defay is a large looking +1000 to retain her title.

2023 Surf Ranch Pro; Women's WinnerBetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review
Carissa Moore+300+300+300
Tyler Wright+600+600+600
Caroline Marks+600+600+600
Stephanie Gilmore+600+600+600
Molly Picklum+700+700+700
Tatiana Weston-Webb+800+800+800
Johanne Defay+1000+1000+1000
Caitlin Simmers+1200+1200+1200
Lakey Peterson+1200+1200+1200

Stephanie Gilmore is the current world champion, but the eight times world title holder is well off the pace this year. Gilmore sits down in sixth position in the championship table, and is a huge +1000 to win a ninth world crown.

The current favorite to be the 2023 Women’s World Champion is Carissa Moore at +175. Moore currently sits second in the table behind Australia’s Tyler Wright, who is proving to be a worthy contender herself, and is the second favorite in the betting to be this year’s world title winner at +275.

Our Women’s Pick

It’s tight at the top of the women’s championship. Tyler Moore has 31,685 points, and Carissa Moore has 29,490. Moore has just won the Margaret River Pro, but Wright finished second in that event. Tyler Wright also won the previous event at the Rip Curl Pro Bells beach, Moore finished fifth in that event held in Victoria, Australia.

There really is little to choose between the two women, but Carissa Moore does have the better record at Lemoore with her win in 2018, and her runner-up position in 2021. This must be what’s giving her the advantage with the betting sites.

We’re going to go with Carissa Moore’s impressive record here, and we make her our pick to win.

Carissa MooreTo win 2023 Surf Ranch Pro
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Dean Etheridge

Hailing from Coventry, England, Dean brings his British wit to every piece he pens. A true lover of a good wager, Dean's passion for both sports and writing has merged into the world of sports betting. Dean is the mastermind behind his very own soccer and cricket betting platforms. As the owner and editor of a renowned football betting website, Dean has established himself as a force within the industry. His expertise as a freelance content writer is centered in the realms of football, cricket and Formula 1. From breaking down odds to unraveling strategies, Dean's writing radiates an unmatched love for sports. When he’s not immersed in sports betting, Dean enjoyes exploring new culinary delights, conquering the latest car racing video games, or getting lost in the pages of a novel.