Odds on the Next MLB Manager(s) Fired

  • Cincinnati’s Bryan Price just became the first manager fired this season.
  • Will Baltimore’s Buck Showalter be the next neck on the chopping block?
  • What are the chances for all 30 teams to undergo a coaching change before next year?

Now that Bryan Price has been fired by the Reds, who sit in the deepest darkest basement of the majors with a 3-15 record, the question inevitably becomes: who’s next?

The MLB managerial carousel slows at times, but it never truly stops, and it’s going to fling another rider from his seat in short order.

Below, we look at which manager will be the next to go, along with the odds for all 30 MLB teams to have a new man in charge by the start of next season.

Next manager fired

  • Buck Showalter (Baltimore): 6/5
  • Kevin Cash (Tampa): 9/1
  • Jeff Banister (Texas): 12/1
  • Ned Yost (Kansas City): 12/1
  • Andy Green (San Diego): 15/1
  • Bruce Bochy (San Francisco): 15/1
  • Rick Renteria (Chicago White Sox): 24/1
  • Don Mattingly (Miami): 33/1
  • Bob Melvin (Oakland): 33/1
  • Mike Matheny (Cardinals): 49/1
  • FIELD: 24/1

It has to be Showalter, right? The Orioles have only scored 58 runs in 18 games. Hitting should be the least of their worries. They are dead-last in the AL East and trending down. They just got swept by the Detroit Tigers, a team that’s barely expected to crack 60 wins.

If Showalter somehow survives for another month or so, someone like Cash or Bannister or Yost could get the axe first. All three are authoring truly dismal seasons for their teams, which all sit either last or tied for last in their respective divisions.

Royals manager Ned Yost in the dugout.
No one expected much from Ned Yost’s Royals, but they’ve been even worse than the most pessimistic projections so far. (Photo: Charles Sollars (flickr) CC License.)

Odds to change managers by 2019 Opening Day

  • Cincinnati Reds:1/74
  • Baltimore Orioles: 1/4
  • Tampa Bay Rays: 1/1
  • Kansas City Royals: 3/2
  • Miami Marlins: 9/5
  • San Diego Padres: 2/1
  • Oakland Aโ€™s: 5/2
  • San Francisco Giants: 5/2
  • Texas Rangers: 5/2
  • Chicago White Sox: 3/1
  • Seattle Mariners: 3/1
  • St. Louis Cardinals: 3/1
  • Milwaukee Brewers: 7/2
  • Atlanta Braves: 7/2
  • Pittsburgh Pirates: 5/1
  • Toronto Blue Jays: 7/1
  • Los Angeles Angels: 8/1
  • Philadelphia Phillies: 9/1
  • Chicago Cubs: 10/1
  • Cleveland Indians: 10/1
  • Detroit Tigers: 12/1
  • Los Angeles Dodgers: 12/1
  • Minnesota Twins: 12/1
  • New York Yankees: 15/1
  • New York Mets: 19/1
  • Arizona Diamondbacks: 19/1
  • Colorado Rockies: 19/1
  • Washington Nationals: 19/1
  • Houston Astros: 24/1
  • Boston Red Sox: 39/1

The Reds get top spot on a technicality. Interim manager Jim Riggleman will be replaced before the start of next season, unless he pulls off some sort of miracle in his time at the helm.

When it comes to non-interim managers, the teams at the top are pretty similar to the favorites in the next-manager-fired prop: Baltimore/Showalter, Tampa/Cash, Kansas City/Yost.

The teams at the bottom are largely the ones that just switched managers last year. It’s rare for an MLB manager to be canned after only one season. It’s not unheard of, though, so stay alert, Aaron Boone! If your Yankees keep slumping, you might end up one-and-done.

Especially if Alex Cora’s Red Sox keep owning you.


Alexander is the MTS editor-in-chief. Frank, Alex, and Geoff brought him in when they realized that their betting expertise far surpassed their grammatical abilities. He loves overanalyzing college basketball trends. Talking to him during the first weekend of March Madness is like talking to a wall. A very focused wall, but a wall nonetheless.

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