NFL Betting News This Week | Giants Nightmare, New Odds and More | October 2, 2026

by Braulio Perez

Updated: October 1, 2026

In the blink of an eye, we’ve reached the fourth week of NFL betting action and there are countless things to talk about. As you probably could have guessed, several teams have emerged as serious threats to push for division titles, while other teams have been major disappointments. We’ll talk more about it below, but no team has let their fans down more than the Los Angeles Chargers, with Justin Herbert and Co. 0-3 to start the year.

That’s not something anyone expected. At the same time, the Dallas Cowboys are another team that has dropped the ball a bit, falling to 1-2 after a heartbreaking loss to the Baltimore Ravens in Brazil. In this piece, we’ve got wall-to-wall coverage of the latest action while also going over some of the biggest NFL betting trends that have emerged early this season. Will more surprises be on the way in the next round of games?

The biggest NFL betting storylines this week

• To start us off, you’ve simply got to feel pretty darn terrible for the New York Giants. After beating the Dallas Cowboys to start the season, the NFC East side has been crushed by injuries. First, quarterback Jaxson Dart went down with a season-ending knee injury. To make matters worse for the Giants, pass-rusher Brian Burns tore his ACL in the Week 3 win over the Titans. He’s now also out for the year. After the hot start, things are getting brutal on the injury front for the G-Men.
• As we mentioned above, the Chargers are now 0-3 on the year. Last weekend, the Chargers traveled to Buffalo and they were not able to pull off the upset against the Bills. Things aren’t getting easier in Week 4 with a trip to the Seattle Seahawks next up. Seattle is going to be ready to avenge a bad loss to the Washington Commanders. There’s a really good chance that the Chargers will start off the year 0-4.
• As you probably could have guessed, the hype surrounding the Ravens is pretty dang high right now. Baltimore was able to post a walk-off win against the Cowboys, with the offense really showing out. Lamar Jackson put on a show throwing the ball all over the field, but Derrick Henry continues to look like one of the best running backs in the NFL. He posted yet another multi-touchdown game, making his fantasy football owners pretty dang happy.
• One of the biggest surprises this season has to be the Cleveland Browns, as Deshaun Watson has managed to turn things around. After opening the season with a loss, the Browns are looking pretty dang sharp on both sides of the ball. Seemingly out of nowhere, Cleveland is looking like a real contender to win the AFC North. Had that been mentioned before Week 1 got here, not many people would have put much stock into that thought.

Giants edge rusher Brian Burns not only suffered a torn ACL in Sunday’s game vs the Titans, but he also suffered a torn meniscus as well, per @DDuggan21.

Burns is set to have surgery today at the Hospital for Special Surgery in New York to repair both of the injuries. pic.twitter.com/BvAhpmW6qU

— Doug Rush (@TheDougRush) October 1, 2026

Biggest futures, outright and win total moves this month in the NFL

• Speaking of the Ravens, they’ve once again seen their Super Bowl betting odds move a bit. After a disappointing loss, Baltimore saw its Super Bowl odds move to +950. However, after taking care of the Cowboys, those odds have once again moved to +900. The Ravens are expected to be a serious threat to push for the AFC title. It will be interesting to see if that happens or not, but anything is possible when Jackson and Henry are leading the way on offense.
• As for a team that took a bit of a nosedive, the Seahawks now hold +1000 odds after they were stunned on the road by the Washington Commanders. Straight up, it was a bad loss for Seattle, as the defense couldn’t stop much of anything going up against Washington. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a stud wideout for the Seahawks, but if the defense doesn’t shape up, then the +1000 odds could get even worse in the coming weeks.
• Over in the AFC East, it’s time to recognize that Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills have what it takes to win it all. In a bit of a shocker, the Bills are now tied with the Rams for the best Super Bowl odds at +650. This isn’t a stunner, as Allen is looking like a frontrunner for the NFL MVP betting odds – yeah, he’s been that good. We’ll learn more about the Bills in October, but the performance against the Chargers sure was pretty dang eye-opening.

Most-bet NFL props and markets

With the season in full swing, we’re seeing more interest in individual NFL prop bets, which makes sense. One of the main markets people have been talking about since the NFL Draft in the spring is who will be named NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Originally, a lot of money was going on No. 1 overall pick Fernando Mendoza, but things have changed in a big way and for good reason.

Mendoza is currently the backup quarterback for the Raiders, waiting for his turn behind Kirk Cousins to see the field. Because of that, it has opened the door for Cardinals running back Jeremiyah Love to see his odds skyrocket. Love is the new favorite with his +130 odds. Behind him, Denzel Boston and Carnell Tate are hoping to make things interesting, but it could end up being way too difficult for either player to catch up to the former Notre Dame running back.

Another player who’s always going to have a lot of eyes on him is Patrick Mahomes, as he has looked sensational following his serious knee injury last year. Mahomes is the No. 1 NFL betting favorite to win NFL Comeback Player of the Year, holding -210 odds. Mahomes has the Chiefs looking like Super Bowl contenders once again, which we should have all seen coming. If he keeps playing at such a high level, the Chiefs’ NFL playoffs betting odds are only going to keep improving.

NFL betting trends bettors are watching

With the NFL and college football seasons underway, the 2027 NFL Draft will be here before we know it next spring. One NFL betting trend we’re noticing is that a ton of money continues to go on Arch Manning to be the No. 1 overall pick. This wouldn’t be a shocker at all, as Manning has been linked to that top spot for what feels like five years now. He has Texas playing incredibly well right now.

A lot can change the rest of the season, but it’s not going to be a surprise at all if Manning goes No. 1 – it will all come down to which team ends up holding that top pick. Other players in contention include Trinidad Chambliss, CJ Carr, Jeremiah Smith, and a handful of others. If a team is looking for some help on defense, it wouldn’t be too crazy to think that Texas pass-rusher Colin Simmons could be in the mix there as well.

What could move NFL odds next?

Now is the time of the season when play on the field is going to impact the odds the most. However, with the NFL trade deadline sneaking up on us, we could see some high-profile players traded to contenders too. With that said, the favorites for each division continue to stand out:

• Buffalo Bills to win the AFC East at -240
• Baltimore Ravens to win the AFC North at +120
• Jacksonville Jaguars to win the AFC South at +115
• Kansas City Chiefs to win the AFC West at -166
• Philadelphia Eagles to win the NFC East at -140
• Minnesota Vikings to win the NFC North at +184
• New Orleans Saints to win the NFC South at +130
• San Francisco 49ers to win the NFC West at +144

NFL previous news updates

• [September 2026]: There were some eye-opening upsets in Week 2 of the NFL season, but some injuries have been devastating for contenders too. 
• [September 2026]: The Giants shocked the Cowboys in Week 1 and the Rams’ loss threw people off, which impacted the Super Bowl odds.
• [September 2026]: The Los Angeles Rams made a huge splash, bringing back future Hall of Fame pass-rusher Aaron Donald out of retirement. 
• [August 2026]: The Eagles made some history this summer, signing Jalen Carter to a huge extension to make him the most expensive defensive tackle in NFL history. 
• [July 2026]: The Los Angeles Rams saw their Super Bowl odds skyrocket, and the belief is that the NFC West side will be in a strong position to win it all next season. 
• [June 2026]: The Myles Garrett trade by the Cleveland Browns turned the NFL world upside down, as the Rams defense is now looking unstoppable for next season. 
• [May 2026]: Rookie minicamps took place and major news arrived for the Rams with Matthew Stafford coming to terms with the Super Bowl favorites on a new big-money contract. 
• [April 2026]: The NFL Draft was completed, with betting markets gaining traction. Odds have been adjusted for teams after adding top talent throughout the seven rounds of the draft. On top of that, some more free agency moves have been posted.
• [March 2026]: National Football League trade activity impacts the board, with high-profile player moves causing immediate shifts in division and Super Bowl markets.
• [March 2026]: National Football League free agency reshapes futures odds, with teams adding elite quarterbacks or defensive pieces shortening from +2000 into the +1200 range.
• [February 2026]: Super Bowl LX closes the market, with the New England Patriots shortening late to win, driving final line movement as sharp money backed their defense.

Braulio Perez

Braulio Perez is a sports journalist with more than a decade of experience covering major US sports leagues and international soccer. Since beginning his journalism career in 2011, he has covered a wide range of topics, including college football, recruiting, the NFL, and global soccer, developing a strong understanding of the teams, players, and storylines ...

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