Boxing Betting This Month | Garcia vs Benn to Clash, Fight Trends & Market Watch | September 2026

by Daniel Feliciano

Updated: September 1, 2026

The welterweight division takes centre stage in the boxing world this month, as Ryan Garcia takes on Conor Benn in a grudge match in the biggest fight in September.

Garcia and Benn will clash on September 12th, in the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, in a bout that has seen plenty of bad blood between the two. As it stands, Garcia is a -300 favorite heading into the bout, while the challenger Benn is a +275 underdog.

We’ll also see Katie Taylor in her final fight as she takes on Flora Pili at Croke Park in Ireland in a retirement bout. The hometown hero will enter the bout as a heavy -1600 favorite, while Pili will be looking to cause a major upset as a +1300 underdog.

Below, we’ll look at the biggest boxing storylines for September, recent market movement, and the key angles bettors should watch throughout the month. For more boxing betting, check out our Boxing Betting Guide, which includes all the information you need to bet on the sport, as well as guides to the best boxing betting sites.

The biggest betting storylines this month

• The month will kick-off with the return of Andy Ruiz Jr, when he takes on Damian Knyba at the Prudential Center on September 4th. Ruiz hasn’t fought since a draw with Jarrell Miller in August 2024, while Knyba suffered the first defeat of his career back in January as he was stopped by Agit Kabayel in their WBC Interim heavyweight title fight.
• There’s also plenty of eyeballs on the big super lightweight fight between Katie Taylor and Flora Pili, which takes place on September 5th. Taylor is the undisputed super lightweight champion and has a stunning 25-1 record in her career heading into this bout. Pili, meanwhile, is a 12-0 prospect hailing out of France, looking to spoil the party.
• The biggest fight of the month is without a doubt the WBC welterweight title fight between Ryan Garcia and Conor Benn. Garcia won the title back in January with a unanimous decision win over Mario Barrios, while Benn has responded to his defeat against Chris Eubank Jr with back-to-back wins over Eubank Jr (in the rematch) and Regis Prograis back in April, via unanimous decision.
• We will also see two-time cruiserweight champion Jai Opetaia return to action to take on Norair Mikaeljan on September 12th. Opetaia is a 30-0 undefeated fighter, who defeated Brandon Glanton in his last fight back in March. Mikaeljan has a 28-3 professional record, and claimed a win over Badou Jack in his most recent fight in December 2025.
• The month will be closed out with a big WBC World bantamweight title fight between Takuma Inoue and Tenshin Nasukawa, in a mega rematch. Inoue won his title against Nasukawa back in November 2025, and has since defended the belt once, taking his record to 22-2, while Nasukawa is now 8-1 after stopping Juan Francisco Estrada to set up this bout.

Biggest futures, outright and win total moves this month

There has been some significant movement in the betting markets for boxing this month, and this is a closer look at some of the action worth tracking for bettors.

• Anthony Joshua vs Tyson Fury

There has been plenty of speculation about when this fight will take place, and reports suggest that there is a provisional date of November 20th locked in. But negotiations continue over the location, with Saudi Arabia, the UK, and the USA all mooted as potential options.

With both fighters picking up wins in their July fights against Mariusz Wach and Kristian Prenga respectively, there has been plenty of action on the betting odds for their eventual meeting.

When the fight was originally announced earlier this year, Fury opened as a -170 favorite. At one point, he drifted to -180 after defeating Arslanben Makhmudov, but his showing in Thailand against a basically amateur fighter has seen his odds shorten to -163.

Joshua originally opened at +130, but saw his odds fluctuate to as high as +150 at one point. However, after being knocked down twice against Prenga before his second-round knockout win, you can now get Joshua at odds as high as +175 with some bookmakers.

The bout is still without an official date and venue, but we are edging closer to everything being signed, and odds are likely to be affected once that happens.

• Garcia to defend his welterweight title?

Ryan Garcia has responded well to a difficult run in his career, and turned in a fine performance to win the WBC Welterweight title earlier this year. Benn, meanwhile, showed incredible determination and heart to defeat Eubank Jr in their highly-anticipated rematch, before a comfortable win over Regis Prograis in April under the Zuffa Boxing banner.

Garcia opened as a -385 favorite against the Brit, but has since seen his odds shorten. As recently as last week he was seen at -330, but now he is available at -300 with some bookies, providing good value if you think he’ll get the win. Benn, on the other hand, opened as a +304 underdog initially, but has now been backed in to +275 with some bookmakers, with his power and discipline major factors.

Garcia will have the advantage of the fight being in the USA, while he also has a speed and power edge.

• Katie Taylor to sail into the sunset?

Taylor is widely considered to be one of the greatest female boxers in history, and she is being given a dream farewell by Matchroom Boxing by fighting inside Croke Park for her final bout.

The Irishwoman opened as a huge -1667 favorite as she looks to end her career in the best way possible, with a dominant win and with all the belts. Pili is an undefeated 12-0, who claimed a majority decision win in her last fight against Jelena Janicijevic. The French star opened as a massive +1000 underdog when this fight was originally announced.

However, while Taylor’s odds have stayed around the same at around -1600, Pili has seen her odds drift even further, and she is now a +1300 underdog heading into fight week.

Taylor is expected to have an easy night at the office, and that would see her set off into the sunset of retirement as an undisputed world champion.

Futures market check

Looking forward to future matchups in the world of boxing, there are some interesting lines beginning to appear on the market.

• Canelo Alvarez (-275) vs Christian Mbilli (+250)

After suffering defeat to Terrence Crawford last year, Canelo will return to the ring on October 31st to take on Canadian knockout artist Mbilli for his WBC super middleweight title in a mega fight.

Alvarez has a stunning 63-3-2 record in his career and is still widely considered to be the face of boxing, but he knows he must win this fight or face his career at the highest level being over. Mbilli has a near-perfect 29-0-1 record, including 24 knockouts, but fought to a draw against Lester Martinez in his most recent bout.

Canelo opened in the betting as a -300 favorite for the fight, which will take place in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, but he has since shortened to -275,. Mbilli, meanwhile, opened as a +230 underdog, and can now be found at around +250 if you fancy the upset.

This fight was delayed from September 12th, with Canelo dealing with some personal issues, and it’s possible that could have an impact on the betting too.

• Takuma Inoue (-225) vs Tenshin Nasukawa (+220)

A major fight in the bantamweight division will see a big rematch between Takuma Inoue and Tenshin Nasukawa.

Inoue won the title with a unanimous decision win against Nasukawa in November 2025, and both men have picked up a win in their one fight since, to set up this rematch.

Inoue, who is the younger brother of ‘The Monster’ Naoya, opened up in the betting as a -196 favorite, but has seen his odds backed into -225. Nasukawa, on the other hand, opened as a +144 underdog, but has drifted out to +220 since.

That is a huge turnaround from their first meeting, where Inoue opened up as a +400 underdog, and Nasukawa was a -650 favorite in their first fight.

But Inoue has shown his quality and skill, and already has a win, so there is value in backing him even as a -225 favorite.

GARCIA vs BENN! Watch LIVE September 12th globally on @paramountplus or @DAZNBoxing in UK and Ireland #GarciaBenn pic.twitter.com/LSaMwG731B

— danawhite (@danawhite) July 18, 2026

What could move odds before next month’s update

It’s possible that there could be some official fight announcements coming in the near future.

• Shakur Stevenson has signed with Zuffa Boxing and is still looking to find a new opponent. Talks with Gervonta Davis have stalled for now, but after Teofimo Lopez defeated Rolly Romero for the Super Welterweight title, a rematch in a new weight class could now become something to look at.
• Agit Kabayel, who has been promoted to full world champion following Usyk’s decision to vacate, is likely to be in the frame to be Fury or Joshua’s next opponent after their fight, so it’s worth looking at potential markets opening up should there be movement in that direction.
• After Moses Itauma suffered a shock defeat to Filip Hrgovic, there are question marks about his next opponent. It’s possible he, or Hrgovic, could be lined up against the winner of Fury vs Joshua, and that’s something to keep an eye on.
• With Floyd Mayweather and Manny Pacquiao’s much-anticipated rematch being delayed, expect the odds to move as a result of the prolonged timeline. It may be an opportunity to get value too, before a new date is announced.

Previous betting news updates

• [August 2026]: Filip Hrgovic claimed a stunning ninth-round stoppage win over Moses Itauma on August 29, winning the vacant IBF heavyweight title.
• [August 2026]: Teofimo Lopez claimed a majority decision win over Rolly Romero to win the WBA (Super) Welterweight championship on August 22nd.
• [August 2026]: Oleksandr Usyk and Deontay Wilder are in talks over a super fight in 2027.
• [August 2026]: Anthony Joshua and Tyson Fury are edging towards a November 20th date at Madison Square Garden, but there is no confirmation yet.

Daniel Feliciano

Daniel is a football writer who has a great thirst for the Premier League and other major European leagues. A lover of the beautiful game and a firm believer that the eye test is better than statistics. Also an avid MMA fan.