Wisconsin Will Follow Florida’s Sports Betting Model

Sports betting in Florida is a phenomenal business. Not just because it has a monopoly — due to a compact signed with the state government — on one of the most populated parts of the country.

More than that, it’s because the Seminole tribe invented a whole new way to offer online sports betting. You see, before them, it was believed that the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act forced any and all tribal-led betting to be done on their land. This was enacted before the internet caught fire.

And even when the internet spread, the language stayed the same. Tribal casinos opened up far and wide, but all of them took action in person only. Then the Seminole flipped the model on its head once it got exclusive access to Florida’s sports gambling market.

And now Wisconsin sports betting is likely to follow suit. Could this create a domino effect across the country with other tribes and online betting? We ponder it all in this article so stick with us.

How The Seminoles Cracked Online Gaming

Before we go any further, we really have to get to the bottom of the Seminoles genius. It’s called the hub-and-spoke model.

The “hub” is the server located on tribal land. The “spokes” are the bettors scattered across the rest of Florida. So even if someone is sitting on their couch in Tampa or Miami, the tribe argues the bet is accepted and processed on tribal land because that’s where the server sits.

That sounded ridiculous to critics at first. It spawned multiple lawsuits, and one that event went to the Supreme Court. And you can see why, right? It feels like a loophole that shouldn’t be open in the first place.

But… after years of legal fighting, that model survived (the Supreme Court backed its legality). Now Hard Rock Bet — the sports betting app that the Seminoles own and operate — has the entire Florida online sports betting market to itself, online and everything. This genius had other tribes thinking out loud too, but it appears Wisconsin is the first to follow suit.

Wisconsin Is Doing What Florida Did, But More Complicated

Tony Evers signs bill

Wisconsin is trying to follow the same basic roadmap, but… its version is way messier, and that’s probably a necessary evil.

You see, Florida has one dominant tribe controlling the market, the Seminoles. Wisconsin has 11 federally recognized tribes, all with different casino footprints, different financial strengths, and different levels of political influence.

And the reality is, not all those tribes have the money to build a full-on sports betting app. Therefore, the Wisconsin law requires sportsbook operators that want access to partner with tribes. Therefore, the likes of FanDuel, BetMGM, or another commercial app could enter the market, but only in partnership with the tribes. The state would still use the hub-and-spoke concept, but the market itself would be spread across multiple tribal compacts.

That creates a lot of moving pieces. Gov. Tony Evers has said any compact has to benefit all Wisconsin tribes, not just the biggest ones. That matters because tribes like Oneida, Ho-Chunk, and Potawatomi have stronger casino footprints near bigger population centers, while smaller or more rural tribes don’t have the same built-in advantages. Online betting could level the playing field if structured correctly. Or the opposite, make the stronger tribes even stronger, if it’s not done right.

Then there’s the sportsbook issue. Commercial operators want in on Wisconsin, obviously, but not at the current terms. The tribes would reportedly receive 60 percent of revenue, which is a major sticking point for these commercial apps. It’s already a low-margin business, and that take-rate doesn’t help.

That’s why Wisconsin probably won’t launch overnight. Each tribe needs compact negotiations. Those compacts need federal approval. The commercial operators and tribes still have to figure out who is partnering with whom. So yes, Wisconsin may have opened the door, but getting the apps live could take a year or more.

This Could Become A Tribal Betting Blueprint

As we’ve said, this story is bigger than Wisconsin. It’s bigger than Florida. It truly had national implications.

Florida proved the hub-and-spoke model can survive with one powerful tribe. Wisconsin could prove it works in a multi-tribe state, which is a much bigger deal. Most tribal gaming states look more like Wisconsin than Florida.

That’s why states like California, Oklahoma, Washington, Minnesota, and Arizona should be watching closely. In all of those places, tribes already have enormous influence over gambling. A Wisconsin-style model could give them a way to expand online without handing the market over to commercial sportsbooks outright.

California is probably the big one. Tribes there fought to keep DraftKings and FanDuel out during a 2022 statewide vote, butthey also know mobile betting is where the money is — if they fully control it. So Wisconsin proving the model just bolsters the Californian’s argument next time they try to legalize (rumor has it in 2028).

The old model of “come to our casino if you want to bet” is fading. Florida found a way around it. Wisconsin is trying to adapt it. If this works, it won’t be the last state to try.

Eric Uribe

Eric is a man of many passions, but chief among them are sports, business, and creative expressions. He's combined these three to cover the world of betting at MyTopSportsbooks in the only way he can. Eric is a resident expert in the business of betting. That's why you'll see Eric report on legalization efforts, gambling revenues, innovation, and the move...

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