UFC Betting News and Analysis This Month | UFC 332, UFC 333, Futures, Trends & Market Movement | October 2026

by Trent Reinsmith

Updated: October 1, 2026

In major UFC betting news, Joshua Van retained his UFC flyweight title with an impressive decision win over former champ Alexandre Pantoja in their rematch at the top of the UFC 331 card.

Attention now shifts to the UFC’s October events, which include two numbered cards headlined by title fights. On October 3, at UFC 332, Natalia Silva and Wang Cong battle for the vacant women’s flyweight belt, while at UFC 333, which is scheduled for October 24, Alexander Volkanovski defends his featherweight crown against Movsar Evloev in the main event, and Petr Yan looks to hold onto his bantamweight belt opposite ex-champ Merab Dvalishvili in a rematch.

Below, we break down the best betting angles, storylines, and odds movement surrounding UFC 332 and UFC 333, along with the latest results, market trends, and the UFC fights that deserve your betting attention.

The biggest UFC betting storylines for UFC 332

• UFC 332 takes place on Saturday, October 3 from Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah.
• The UFC has booked No. 1 ranked Natalia Silva to face No. 8 ranked Wang Cong for the vacant women’s flyweight title after Valentina Shevchenko vacated the championship because of injury. Shevchenko told the UFC she would be unable to compete for at least a year.
• The opening betting odds for Silva vs. Wang saw Silva as the -250 betting favorite over the +207 Wang. Those odds have tightened. Today, Silva is listed at -215 and Wang as the +151 betting underdog.
• Silva (20-5-1) is unbeaten in the UFC, going 8-0 with the organization and riding an overall winning streak of 14 fights dating back to March 2018. Wang is 10-1 overall and 5-1 in the UFC. She has won her past four fights.
• Silva and Wang have combined for nine straight decisions (Silva with five, Wang with four) in their most recent bouts. With that, don’t look for a finish at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City. The fight will go the distance with Silva becoming the next UFC women’s flyweight champion.

The biggest UFC betting storylines for UFC Vegas 122

• The UFC just recently announced the main event for its October 10 event at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas. In that matchup, Brendan Allen meets Christian Leroy Duncan at middleweight.
• Allen (27-7) is the No. 5 ranked UFC 185-pounder, while Duncan (15-2) checks in at No. 10.
• Allen is riding a three-fight winning streak. As for Duncan, he has won five in a row.
• Odds have not been released for Allen vs. Duncan.
• The betting pick for UFC Vegas 122 is Allen to win via decision, but there is some betting value in picking an Allen win via submission even though Duncan has never been submitted in his career.

The biggest UFC betting storylines for UFC Edmonton

• The UFC returns to Edmonton, Alberta, Canada on October 17 for a UFC Fight Night headlined by Joaquin Buckley vs. Mike Malott.
• Buckley (21-8) is the No. 10 ranked UFC welterweight, while Malott (14-2-1) checks in at No. 13.
• Buckley is riding the second two-fight losing skid of his UFC career. He has never lost three fights in a row. He is coming off back-to-back decision setbacks to Kamaru Usman and Sean Brady. As for Malott, he has bounced back from an uninspired 2024 loss to Neil Magny with four straight wins, earning two decisions and two knockouts with all four fights taking place in his home country of Canada.
• Buckley, a member of the UFC roster since 2020 has faced stiffer competition than his opponent, who joined the promotion in 2022. That high-level experience, along with his powerful striking, gives him a leg up over Malott.
• Odds have not been released for Buckley vs. Malott.
• The betting pick for the main event of the UFC Edmonton card is for Buckley to score a bounce back knockout win and to keep himself in the mix for a potential title shot at 170 pounds.

The biggest UFC betting storylines for UFC 333

• Two title fights headline UFC 333, which is scheduled for Saturday, October 24 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi.
• In the UFC 333 main event, featherweight titleholder Alexander Volkanovski (28-4) is in a pick ’em against No. 1 ranked 145-pound contender Movsar Evloev (20-0). Volkanovski is currently listed at -103, while Evloev comes in at -113. The opening odds favored the challenger (-185) over the champ (+160).
• The co-main event of UFC 333 finds bantamweight champ Petr Yan (20-5) in a rematch with the man he defeated for his title, Merab Dvalishvili (21-5). Their first fight, in December 2025, saw Yan win via unanimous decision to end Dvalishvili’s title reign at three defenses.
• The current betting odds have Yan as the -175 favorite to retain his belt against the +149 Dvalishvili.
• Volkanovski vs. Evloev will go the distance, and the champ will retain his title via decision. Evloev does not have the power to knock out Volkanovski, and the champ is great at point fighting and avoiding danger.
• As for the co-main event, look for Dvalishvili to get his title back. He fought four times in 2025 and by the end of the year was worn down. He has not stepped into the Octagon since December and should be well rested against Yan. Dvalishvili will win via decision.

The biggest UFC betting storylines for UFC Vegas 123

• UFC Vegas 123 closes out the month on October 31. As of now, the main event looks like former UFC lightweight title challenger Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan.
• Moicano (21-7-1) is coming off a submission win over Chris Duncan in April. That victory ended a two-fight losing skid for the man who lost to UFC 155-pound champ Islam Makhachev in January 2025. Nolan (11-1) is on a five-fight winning streak.
• Moicano is the No. 8 ranked UFC lightweight, while Nolan is ranked at No. 11.
• Betting odds have not been released for this bout.
• Moicano is a finisher, having won 11 fights via submission and two via knockout. Look for him to be very aggressive against Nolan and to pick up another submission win in Vegas.

UFC futures market check

• The big upcoming fights are on the UFC 334 card, which is scheduled for November 14 at Madison Square Garden.
• In the UFC 334 main event, UFC heavyweight champion Ciryl Gane defends his title against Josh Hokit, while in the co-main event, former two-division women’s champion Amanda Nunes comes out of retirement to face women’s bantamweight champ Kayla Harrison.
• Gane is a -255 favorite over the +212 Hokit in the main event.
• In the co-headliner, Harrison is listed at -200 over Nunes, who checks in at +169

Betting trends we’re watching this month

• The fight to watch is the UFC 333 main event between Alexander Volkanovski and Movsar Evloev.
• Evloev opened as the -185 favorite over the +160 Volkanovski, but the market has moved significantly toward the champion. Volkanovski is now around -115, with Evloev around -105.
• The best bet will depend on where the line settles before UFC 333, with the matchup now priced close to a pick ’em.

What could move odds before next UFC update

I would expect the odds to move on the UFC 334 main event. Ciryl Gane is much more experienced against high-level fighters than Josh Hokit, who made his UFC debut in November 2025 and has just four UFC bouts to his name. The odds could shift very much in Gane’s favor as fight night approaches. The best betting option might to be to get your money in on a Gane victory now. On the other hand, there will be some value in a Hokit surprise KO win, so keep an eye on how the odds shift on that outcome.

Previous UFC betting news updates

• [September 2026] Betting favorites are 18-1 in UFC main events in 2026. The UFC 327 main event between Jiri Prochazka and Carlos Ulberg, which ended with Ulberg winning the vacant UFC light heavyweight title via TKO, closed with even odds, as did the UFC Perth matchup between Jack Della Maddalena and Carlos Prates, which ended with a Prates knockout win.
• [September 2026] Betting favorites went 7-5 on the UFC 331 fight card.
• [September 2026] Joshua Van defeated Alexandre Pantoja in the main event of UFC 331 to retain the UFC flyweight title.
• [August 2026] Betting favorites went 7-4 on the UFC 330 fight card. One fight had even odds. 
• [August 2026] Islam Makhachev successfully defended the UFC welterweight title against Ian Machado Garry by unanimous decision at UFC 330. Mackenzie Dern also retained the strawweight title with a unanimous-decision win over Gillian Robertson.
• [July 2026] Max Holloway defeated Conor McGregor by first-round TKO in the UFC 329 main event after McGregor suffered a knee injury 69 seconds into the fight.
• [July 2026] Paddy Pimblett submitted Benoit Saint Denis in the UFC 329 co-main event. Mario Bautista defeated Cory Sandhagen by unanimous decision, Brandon Royval defeated Lone’er Kavanagh, and King Green stopped Terrance McKinney.
• [June 2026] Betting favorites went 5-1 on the UFC Freedom 250 card.
• [May 2026] Betting favorites went 8-5 on the UFC 328 fight card.
• [April 2026] Betting favorites went 7-2 on the UFC 327 fight card. Two fights had even odds on fight night and one contest ended in a draw.

• [March 2026] Betting favorites went 8-4 on the UFC 326 card.

Trent Reinsmith

Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-...

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