- What: New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream
- When: Friday, June 23rd
- Where: Gateway Center Arena in College Park, GA
The New York Liberty head to College Park Friday, where they’ll match up against the Atlanta Dream.
Let’s take a look at the total points market in this game.
|Over 165.5 Points||-110||-110||-110|
|Under 165.5 Points||-110||-110||-110|
Buckle up, sports fans, because we’re in for a wild ride when the New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream go head-to-head in what is expected to be a gritty, defense-driven matchup.
While the total is 165.5 points, we’re leaning towards a lower-scoring game, with the Under 165.5 points prop at -110 looking mighty tempting.
Why, you ask? Let’s break it down.
The Liberty and the Dream have been showing off their defensive chops this season, making it a no-brainer that the spotlight will be on their ability to shut down their opponents.
With each team sporting a roster packed with defensive talent, it’s almost inevitable that the game will be a hard-fought battle where every point counts.
New York’s stifling defense, led by the likes of Breanna Stewart and Betnijah Laney, has been a force to be reckoned with, consistently shutting down opponents and keeping the scoreboard in check.
Likewise, Atlanta’s defensive prowess, anchored by Cheyenne Parker and Rhyne Howard, has proven time and time again that they can hold their own against top-tier offenses.
— Atlanta Dream (@AtlantaDream) June 21, 2023
So, what does this mean for the game? In short, points will be at a premium. Each team will be forced to dig deep and find creative ways to put points on the board while their defenses tirelessly stifle offensive momentum.
This type of game lends itself perfectly to a lower-scoring affair, which is why we’re all over the Under 165.5 points prop.
Now, let’s talk about the game tempo. Both teams have a penchant for grinding out possessions and forcing opponents to make mistakes, leading to a slower-paced game that further supports our belief in a low-scoring outcome.
With each team focused on suffocating their opponent on the defensive end, their ability to execute in half-court sets and capitalize on any miscues will dictate the game’s pace.
In this type of game, it’s all about making the most of each possession and limiting turnovers, ultimately keeping the total points to a minimum.
As the game progresses and the intensity ramps up, expect both teams to buckle down on defense, further solidifying our confidence in the Under 165.5 points prop.
In addition to projecting a lower scoring game, the Dream are enormous underdogs. Oddsmakers have priced them at +310 to win, which has an implied probability of 24%.
I do not like those odds and would not recommend betting on the Atlanta Dream to win.
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But wait, there’s more. When we look closer at the head-to-head matchups between these two teams, it becomes evident that they are familiar with low-scoring, defensive battles.
In recent meetings, the Liberty and the Dream have consistently kept the total points under the projected mark, making it all the more compelling to back the Under in this matchup.
“You can’t say enough about Breanna Stewart” and CAN’T😮💨
— New York Liberty (@nyliberty) June 20, 2023
As the Liberty and the Dream prepare to clash on the court, it’s clear that we’re in for a thrilling, defense-driven showdown that’s bound to keep us on the edge of our seats.
With both teams eager to prove their mettle and secure a much-needed victory, we can expect a hard-fought game that will ultimately fall short of the projected total points.
So, for all sports betting enthusiasts, don’t sleep on the Under 165.5 points prop at -110. This game has all the makings of a low-scoring nail-biter that will defy the odds and leave us wanting more.
As far as the game is concerned, you can bet on the Liberty at your own discretion. The price of -380 on the money line leaves little room for value, so I would advise targeting the total instead.
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