- What: New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever
- When: Wednesday, July 12th
- Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN
It’s a tale of two teams, folks. On one side of the court, we have the New York Liberty, boasting a 13-4 record and lighting up the scoreboard from beyond the arc like they’re in a downtown NYC shooting gallery.
Let’s take a look at the money line odds for this matchup.
On the other side of the court, we have the Indiana Fever, stuck in a seven-game rut despite their impressive scoring in the paint.
Let’s break it down, shall we? The Liberty duo, Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu are doling out buckets from downtown like a hot dog vendor at Coney Island.
— New York Liberty (@nyliberty) July 8, 2023
They’ve combined for a whopping 82 made threes this season, making them the third-most prolific pair in the WNBA. The Liberty are dropping 10.4 threes per game as a team, leading the league in that category. That’s some serious splash, my friends.
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Their last showdown with the Storm saw Stewart and Ionescu combine for 10 of New York’s 13 3-pointers, contributing to an 80-76 victory.
With their crisp ball movement resulting in 27 field goals on 23 assists, they clearly understand the art of sharing.
The Liberty are tremendous favorites at -500 on the money line. This number pretty much guarantees the Liberty will win. The implied probability of a -500 favorite covering is 83%.
On the other hand, we have the Indiana Fever. Sure, they’ve dominated in the paint, being one of only three teams to average over 39 points inside.
But that hasn’t been enough to save them from a losing streak that’s as long as a week’s worth of bad hair days.
Slow starts have been the Fever’s Achilles heel, trailing after the first quarter in all but one game during their losing streak.
a productive night from Aliyah Boston. 💪 pic.twitter.com/ah6hkxYdPL
— Indiana Fever (@IndianaFever) July 9, 2023
In their recent 77-76 loss against the Dallas Wings, they found themselves in a 27-17 hole at the end of Q1. That’s like trying to climb Everest with a pair of flip-flops.
The last time these two squared off, the Liberty ran circles around the Fever, sprinting to a 36-14 lead after the first quarter and never looking back. Stewart alone scorched them for 45 points, a Liberty franchise record.
The Fever are huge underdogs on the money line. Oddsmakers have set the line at +400 for the Fever which indicates an implied probability of just 20%.
Now let’s talk numbers. The total is set at 167.5. That’s higher than a rat in a coffee warehouse. But with the Liberty’s long-range game and the Fever’s first-quarter struggles, I’m feeling the under on that total at -105 odds.
|Over 167.5 Points
|Under 167.5 Points
The Liberty’s superior shooting, especially from downtown, combined with the Fever’s slow starts, make New York the smart pick for this match-up.
There must be more than the Fever’s strength in the paint to overcome the Liberty’s three-point barrage.
So, fellow sports fans, get ready for a showdown in Indianapolis. And remember, always be innovative. The house always wins, but you can beat the odds with the correct insight.
I am expecting a low scoring game that the Liberty win with ease as they get ready for the All-Star break.
I would bet Under 167.5 points at -105 odds at Betonline.
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