Mercury Favored at home to knock off Lynx

  • What: Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury
  • When: Thursday, May 25th
  • Where: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

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The Phoenix Mercury (0-2) are coming off a tough loss to the Chicago Sky, while the Minnesota Lynx (0-2) are looking to bounce back from a loss to the Seattle Storm. The Mercury are favored on the money line at a price of -140, and the over/under is 159 points.

TeamBovadaBetOnline ReviewBetUS Review
Lynx+120+128+120
Mercury-140-143-140

The Mercury are led by Brittney Griner, averaging 22.5 points and 8 rebounds per game. Griner is a dominant force in the paint, and she is a significant reason why the Mercury is one of the most potent offenses in the WNBA.

The Mercury also has a strong supporting cast led by Diana Taurasi, Skylar Diggins-Smith, and Brianna Turner.

The Lynx are led by Napheesa Collier, averaging 18.5 points and 5 rebounds per game. Collier is an up-and-coming young forward who is set for a breakout season. The Lynx also has a strong supporting cast led by Kayla McBride, Aerial Powers, and Diamond Miller.

Here is a more in-depth look at each team:

Phoenix Mercury

The Mercury are coming off a disappointing 0-2 start to the season. They lost their first game to the Seattle Storm and then to the Chicago Sky in overtime. However, there are some positive signs for the Mercury. 

Brittney Griner is back in the lineup after missing the 2022 season. Griner is averaging 22.5 points and 8 rebounds per game, and she is a significant reason why the Mercury are one of the most potent offenses in the WNBA. Diana Taurasi is also playing well, averaging 15.5 points per game. 

Taurasi is a four-time WNBA MVP, and she is one of the most clutch players in the league’s history. The Mercury also has a strong supporting cast led by Skylar Diggins-Smith and DeWanna Bonner. Diggins-Smith is a two-time All-WNBA selection, and Bonner is a three-time All-WNBA selection.

Phoenix MercuryTO WIN game
★★★★★
-140
Bet now

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Minnesota Lynx

The Lynx are also coming off a disappointing 0-2 start to the season. They lost their first game to the Seattle Storm. However, there are some positive signs for the Lynx. Napheesa Collier is playing well, averaging 18.5 points and 5 rebounds per game. 

The Lynx also has a strong supporting cast led by Kayla McBride, Aerial Powers. McBride is a two-time WNBA All-Star, and Powers is a two-time WNBA Sixth Woman of the Year. 

Collier is a rising star in the WNBA, a two-time WNBA All-Rookie selection.

The Lynx’s potential is very tempting at the +120 money line price at Bovada. However, I recommend against betting on the Lynx to win this game.

Minnesota LynxTO WIN game
★★★★★
+120
Bet now

Total Points

I also like the under on the total, as both teams have great defenses. The teams need time to get their offense in shape and back to form. It appears the Lynx and Mercury are averaging around 70 points each. 

This total seems oddly high; when I looked at the number, I had the total pegged at around 146. A total of 159 feels too high, so I will recommend the under.

TeamBovadaBetOnline ReviewBetUS Review
Over 159 Points-115-118-115
Under 159 Points-105-102-105

A sky-high total is undoubtedly a mistake by oddsmakers and should be bet down by sharp bettors.

I recommend you bet on the Under 159 like a sharp bettor.

Under 159 pointsLynx vs Mercury
★★★★★
-105
Bet now

Best Bet

I expect the Mercury to win this game and cover the spread. The Mercury are the better team on paper and are playing at home. 

I recommend betting on the Mercury to win on the money line at -140 at Bovada.

Phoenix MercuryTO WIN game
★★★★★
-140
Bet now

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Tony Reyes

Tony is an avid sports fan and a pro sports journalist who dedicates most of his free time to watching the latest matches and games on TV. When he's not indulging in sports-related activities or seeing his friends, Tony finds joy in outdoor activities such as hiking, cycling, and playing basketball. In addition to being a sports expert, Tony has extensive knowledge in finances and accounting. He leverages this expertise to provide insightful betting analysis for women's basketball, identifying value based on overlooked factors.