- What: Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury
- When: Thursday, May 25th
- Where: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ
The Phoenix Mercury (0-2) are coming off a tough loss to the Chicago Sky, while the Minnesota Lynx (0-2) are looking to bounce back from a loss to the Seattle Storm. The Mercury are favored on the money line at a price of -140, and the over/under is 159 points.
The Mercury are led by Brittney Griner, averaging 22.5 points and 8 rebounds per game. Griner is a dominant force in the paint, and she is a significant reason why the Mercury is one of the most potent offenses in the WNBA.
The Mercury also has a strong supporting cast led by Diana Taurasi, Skylar Diggins-Smith, and Brianna Turner.
The Lynx are led by Napheesa Collier, averaging 18.5 points and 5 rebounds per game. Collier is an up-and-coming young forward who is set for a breakout season. The Lynx also has a strong supporting cast led by Kayla McBride, Aerial Powers, and Diamond Miller.
Here is a more in-depth look at each team:
The Mercury are coming off a disappointing 0-2 start to the season. They lost their first game to the Seattle Storm and then to the Chicago Sky in overtime. However, there are some positive signs for the Mercury.
Brittney Griner is back in the lineup after missing the 2022 season. Griner is averaging 22.5 points and 8 rebounds per game, and she is a significant reason why the Mercury are one of the most potent offenses in the WNBA. Diana Taurasi is also playing well, averaging 15.5 points per game.
Taurasi is a four-time WNBA MVP, and she is one of the most clutch players in the league’s history. The Mercury also has a strong supporting cast led by Skylar Diggins-Smith and DeWanna Bonner. Diggins-Smith is a two-time All-WNBA selection, and Bonner is a three-time All-WNBA selection.
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The Lynx are also coming off a disappointing 0-2 start to the season. They lost their first game to the Seattle Storm. However, there are some positive signs for the Lynx. Napheesa Collier is playing well, averaging 18.5 points and 5 rebounds per game.
The Lynx also has a strong supporting cast led by Kayla McBride, Aerial Powers. McBride is a two-time WNBA All-Star, and Powers is a two-time WNBA Sixth Woman of the Year.
Collier is a rising star in the WNBA, a two-time WNBA All-Rookie selection.
The Lynx’s potential is very tempting at the +120 money line price at Bovada. However, I recommend against betting on the Lynx to win this game.
I also like the under on the total, as both teams have great defenses. The teams need time to get their offense in shape and back to form. It appears the Lynx and Mercury are averaging around 70 points each.
This total seems oddly high; when I looked at the number, I had the total pegged at around 146. A total of 159 feels too high, so I will recommend the under.
|Over 159 Points||-115||-118||-115|
|Under 159 Points||-105||-102||-105|
A sky-high total is undoubtedly a mistake by oddsmakers and should be bet down by sharp bettors.
I recommend you bet on the Under 159 like a sharp bettor.
I expect the Mercury to win this game and cover the spread. The Mercury are the better team on paper and are playing at home.
I recommend betting on the Mercury to win on the money line at -140 at Bovada.
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