Bet on Jake Paul to win over Tommy Fury

  • What: Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury
  • Date: Sunday, February 26, 2023
  • Location: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
  • Time: 2:00 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch: ESPN+ pay-per-view

The long-talked about boxing match between Jake Paul and Tommy Fury has been booked. The fight takes place on Sunday, February 26, 2023, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Paul vs. Fury streams on ESPN+ pay-per-view.

Paul and Fury were initially scheduled to face off in December 2021. That contest fell apart when Fury withdrew from the bout because of a bacterial chest infection. He also had a broken rib. Instead of facing Fury, Paul fought Tyron Woodley for a second time. Paul won that contest via knockout. Promoters made a second attempt at scheduling Paul vs. Fury for August 2022. That scrap was to take place at Madison Square Garden.That fight was scuppered after Fury was denied entry to the U.S. because of his families ties with Irish crime boss Daniel Kinahan.

Paul has a 6-0 boxing record. His most recent win was an eight-round unanimous decision victory over former UFC middleweight champion Anderson Silva. Fury, the half-brother of heavyweight boxing world champ Tyson Fury, is 8-0. He is coming off an April win over Daniel Bocianski on the undercard of his brother’s fight against Dillian Whyte at Wembley Stadium.

Before we look at the fight between Jake Paul and Tommy Fury, check out the best boxing betting sites, where you can find the best boxing picks. 

Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury picks

FightersBetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review
Jake Paul-200-200-196
Tommy Fury+160+150+140

Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury prediction and pick

What stands out about this fight is that it is the first time that Jake Paul is going to face a boxer. Yes, Tyron Woodley and Anderson Silva were good strikers in MMA, but they were both past their prime when they boxed Paul and neither had a lot of pure boxing experience. While Fury has limited boxing experience, he has trained specifically to be a boxer and that makes this fight a lot more interesting on paper.

However, while Paul hasn’t faced a boxer as of yet, he has picked up a lot of experience by facing competition that could have knocked him out. In his prime, Woodley was a powerful knockout artist, and Silva was a master of combining range, distance and power to make his opponents look silly. That experience will benefit Paul stylistically and help his confidence. Fury has yet to face  the level of competition that Paul has been matched against and that is going to hurt him.

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Who has the edge

Jake Paul is a powerful puncher and with the way Fury keeps his guard very low, Fury is going to get caught by Paul’s fast and strong right counters. Given enough time to work out his opponent’s style, Paul could catch Fury flush and put him down, much like he did against Woodley.

Fury can throw fast punches and combinations, but more often than not, he is a rather slow boxer. If Fury allows Paul to set the pace of the fight and bring pressure from the early moments of the bout, he will be fighting off his back foot for the entire affair. That does not bode well for Fury.

Fury’s gas tank is a concern. He seems to tire and slow down as his fights go on. Paul has enough experience behind him at this point that he knows how to manage his energy throughout an eight-round battle. Fury has one six-round bout on his record and no eight-rounders.

The one way Fury wins this fight is via his power, but Paul is the better boxer in every way imaginable.

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Best Bets for Jake Paul vs.Tommy Fury

If you think this is the fight where Jake Paul’s undefeated boxing record picks up its first blemish, then there is value in picking Tommy Fury to win this fight. If you’re leaning toward a Fury win, a pick on how the fight will end is also a good value bet. I think Fury is a bad bet to win a decision because of his low output and suspect gas tank, so if you favor Fury, pick him to win via knockout.

I’m not picking Fury. The best bet in this matchup is a Jake Paul win via knockout in the second half of the fight. Paul will look to fight at distance early, using his jab and his speed to tire out his opponent. Once Fury’s gas tank has been depleted, his hands will drop and allow Paul to set him up with a combination that ends with a right hook or an overhand right that puts Fury down and out. The pick for Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury is Jake Paul to win via knockout.

Best bet for Jake Paul vs.Tommy Fury: Jake Paul to beat Tommy Fury via knockout.

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Trent Reinsmith

Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-view broadcast of UFC 1. He also has extensive experience in esports, particularly League of Legends and Counter Strike, dating back to the game's launch.