Tony Reyes
We still have to wait another week for the Azerbaijan Grand Prix at Baku City Circuit, but there are still betting opportunities involving the F1 Constructors Championship we will break down below.
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The Chinese Grand Prix’s cancellation means there aren’t any race wagers but there are still valuable Formula 1 bets available. Let’s examine some of the futures props for the season.
Despite only being three races into the new season, Max Verstappen and Red Bull have been priced as massive favorites in both the Drivers Championship and Constructors Cup. Verstappen is -800 at most sportsbooks while Red Bull is -2500 to win.
Let’s not overlook some additional opportunities to find some value in the F1 betting market. The value I like is betting on the unique prop, and odds to win the 2023 Constructors Champ without Red Bull:
2023 F1 Constructors Champ without Red Bull
| To Win 2023 F1 Constructors World Championship w/o Red Bull |  |  |  |
| Aston Martin | +120 | +120 | +120 |
| Mercedes | +135 | +135 | +135 |
| Ferrari | +300 | +300 | +300 |
| Alpine | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 |
| McLaren | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 |
| Alfa Romeo | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 |
| AlphaTauri | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 |
| Haas | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Williams | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
Aston Martin
This is a bet for runner-up in the Constructors Championship and with the way Aston Martin has been performing lately, it’s obvious why they have the shortest odds here at +120.
Looking at the current standings, Aston Martin has a 9-point lead (65-56) on Mercedes for second place in the standings.
A point worth making 👀#F1 pic.twitter.com/NqNl7UtaoJ
— Formula 1 (@F1) April 18, 2023
Both Fernando Alonso and Lance Stroll have performed well in the AMR23 car this season and there’s no reason to think they won’t continue to succeed in the car.
I think it’s safe to say that Red Bull and Max will not win every race this season, so it’s not out of the realm of possibility for Aston Martin to win a few.
That’s really what this bet is, you’re betting on Fernando Alonso and Aston Martin to win a couple of races so they can finish in second place this season.
I would recommend betting on Aston Martin to finish runner-up in the Constructors Championship at +120 odds.
Mercedes
This feels like another great opportunity to take advantage of some plus-money odds. Mercedes is priced at +135 odds to finish as runner-up in the Constructors Championship.
Lewis Hamilton and the Mercedes team seem to be getting back into the swing of things after his second-place finish in Australia.
#F1 – WHAT A RACE! It’s P2 for Lewis in Melbourne and the first podium for the team! 🤩🏆👏
Unfortunately, George had to retire early in the race due to power unit issues. 💔#AusGP #WorldsFastestFamily #WeLivePerformance #MercedesAMG pic.twitter.com/Hx0QMLJAXz
— Mercedes-AMG Motorsport (@amgmotorsport) April 2, 2023
Similar to the situation with Aston Martin, there will be another team that wins some races besides Red Bull this season. There’s no reason to think it couldn’t be Mercedes.
The odds indicate less than a 45% chance they finish as runner-up in the Constructors Championship. I disagree with that and think this is fantastic value on a misprice by the oddsmakers.
I would recommend betting on Mercedes at +135 to finish as runner-up for the Constructor’s Championship.
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Ferrari
There is also the Ferrari team which some would think would be the most likely team to win some races this season besides Red Bull. However, nothing for Ferrari has gone well this season.
Leclerc started the season with a DNF in Bahrain and it’s difficult to imagine Ferrari being able to finish ahead of not only Red Bull but also Aston Martin and Mercedes.
STANDINGS
Three rounds in, here’s a reminder of how we’re looking… 👀#AusGP #F1 pic.twitter.com/56MXgYrhMe
— Formula 1 (@F1) April 3, 2023
However, it is a long season and they do have some solid odds at +300 to win indicating a 25% chance they finish runner-up.
I’m not seeing it from them this season and would not recommend betting on Ferrari to win the Constructors Cup without Red Bull.
Best Bet
The best bet for this prop is to back Aston Martin at +120 odds to finish as runner-up in the Constructors Championship.
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