Well, the 2017 Australian Open is proving to be about as unpredictable as you could imagine. After four rounds of competition, we’ve seen favorite after favorite crash and burn against lesser-ranked opponents.
The last time we updated you on the odds, Novak Djokovic had flamed out in the second round, leaving the title wide open for the top-ranked Andy Murray. But after three rounds of straight-set wins, Murray went on to lose in four sets to 50th-ranked Mischa Zverev.
Hours later, the top-ranked women’s player, Angelique Kerber, was easily defeated by 35th-ranked Coco Vandeweghe. After the first two rounds saw Agnieszka Radwańska (no. 2) and Simona Halep (no. 3) out, the women’s competition looked like it was headed for another Williams vs. Kerber rematch. But it wasn’t meant to be.
With so many of the favorites out, both the Men’s and Women’s title are completely up for grabs. Here are the odds as we head into the finals.
2017 Australian Open Odds:
Odds to win Men’s title
With Andy Murray (no. 1) and Novak Djokovic (no. 2) out of contention, we see the old guard comprising of Roger Federer (no. 17) and Rafael Nadal (no. 9) taking up the mantle once again. Federer has had an impressive tournament so far, winning his first three rounds in straight sets and then defeating Kei Nishikori (no.5) in the fourth round to advance to the finals. Nadal has been equally impressive, beating France’s Gaël Monfils (no. 6) to advance.
Milos Raonic (no. 3) and Stan Wawrinka (no. 4) are currently the highest-ranked players still in contention, but their performances so far have been shaky. Wawrinka narrowly beat out 152nd-ranked Andreas Seppi and 35th-ranked Viktor Troicki to edge his way into the finals; and Raonic struggled against Gilles Simon (no. 12) and Roberto Bautista Agut (no. 14) in the third and fourth round.
Despite their lower ranking, the veterans are the favourites over the current young stars.
Roger Federer: 7/2
Rafael Nadal: 9/2
Stan Wawrinka: 9/2
Milos Raonic: 5/1
Grigor Dimitrov: 10/1
Jo-Wilfred Tsonga: 20/1
David Goffin: 25/1
Mischa Zverev: 50/1
Odds to win the Women’s title
Serena Williams (no. 2) is one step closer to reclaiming the Australian Open after her main rival, Angelique Kerber (no. 1), suffered a shocking loss to Coco Vandeweghe (no. 35). This comes after early exits from other top contenders like Agnieszka Radwańska (no. 3) and Simona Halep (no. 4).
Williams still has the fifth-ranked Karolína Plíšková and seventh-ranked Garbiñe Muguruza to contend with, but the thinning out of the top contenders now puts her at even better odds than when the competition started.
Interestingly, Venus Williams (no. 17) has also qualified for the finals which means there is a chance of the infamous all-Williams final once again.
Serena Williams: 13/7
Karolina Pliskova: 9/2
Johanna Konta: 9/2
Garbine Muguruza: 7/1
Coco Vandeweghe: 20/1
Venus Williams: 25/1
A Pavlyuchenkova: 25/1
Mirjana Lucic-Baroni: 75/1
Photo credit: “Roger Federer” by Yann Caradec, CC BY-SA 2.0 [http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0], via Flickr.