Novak Djokovic (-800) vs. Stanislaw Wawrinka (+550)
It took No. 1 seed Novak Djokovic two days to oust No. 3 Andy Murray (6-3, 6-3, 5-7, 5-7, 6-1) and advance to the 2015 French Open final. Now Nole has a chance to complete his career Grand Slam as he faces No. 8 Stan Wawrinka this Sunday at the Stade Roland Garros.
On Friday, Djokovic won the first two sets over Murray and looked to be well on his way to a third French Open final, but the Scotsman Murray showed some pluck, taking the third set before play was suspended due to inclement weather.
Murray went on to take the fourth set when play resumed, but Djokovic responded with a dominant 6-1 rout in the fifth to set up tomorrow’s final..
Djokovic lost the 2012 and 2014 finals against Rafael Nadal (both in four sets), but entered this year’s tournament as the odds-on favorite and has looked the part every step of the way, even handing Nadal just his second career loss at Roland Garros in the quarterfinals.
A win tomorrow would make Djokovic just the fourth player in the Open Era (and seventh in tennis history) to win the career Grand Slam, joining Nadal, Roger Federer, and Andre Agassi.
To get there, though, Djokovic will have to beat an inspired Stan Wawrinka, who is coming off impressive wins over crowd favorite Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (6-3, 6-7, 7-6, 6-4) in the semifinals and Federer in quarters (6-4, 6-3, 7-6).
Wawrinka will be making just his second appearance in a Grand Slam final after winning the 2014 Australian Open. He’ll likely feel that he’s playing with house money at this point as no one – including himself – expected him to reach the finals. That should lead to Wawrinka playing aggressive yet relaxed tennis and could create problems for Nole. However, Djokovic has completely dominated the head-to-head against Wawrinka, posting a 17-3 record in 20 meetings and a 5-1 record on clay.
At the end of the day, look for the Serbian to get the job done and complete the career Grand Slam. But there’s not much value to be had with the world No. 1 sitting at -800 in the moneyline.
(Photo credit: Yann Caradec [CC BY-SA 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons.)