Mexican Grand Prix Picks: Max Verstappen has value

  • What: Formula 1 2022 Mexican Grand Prix 
  • When: Sunday, October 30 at 4:00 p.m. EST
  • Where: Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez in Mexico City, Mexico
  • How long: 71 laps, 4.304 km circuit length


The 2022 Mexican Grand Prix is set to get underway this weekend with Formula 1’s top drivers vying to earn a spot on the podium. This past weekend at the United States Grand Prix, Max Verstappen of Red Bull picked up yet another win, and he’ll be looking to defend his victory with another one in Mexico City. Before we dive into the F1 betting action, make sure to check out our F1 betting guide and our sportsbook app reviews in order to get the best betting experience.


2022 Mexican Grand Prix Odds

Check out the latest Mexican Grand Prix odds.

BovadaTo Win Mexican GP
Max Verstappen-175
Charles Leclerc+450
Sergio Perez+450
Carlos Sainz+1200
Lewis Hamilton+1200
George Russell+2500
Fernando Alonso+25000
Lando Norris+25000
Esteban Ocon+50000
Daniel Ricciardo+100000


As has been the case for most Formula 1 races this year, Red Bull superstar Max Verstappen is heavily favored heading into the race. At (-175) odds to win outright, the books don’t see this too differently as they have in the past, though his odds are a bit more favorable to the bettor. Behind Verstappen, Charles Leclerc of Ferrari and Sergio Perez (Verstappen’s Red Bull teammate) have the second-best odds to win the race outright at (+450).

There’s no one else in the field with odds better than (+1200), with Lewis Hamilton of Mercedes and Ferrari’s Carlos Sainz coming in as the fourth and fifth favorites. Beyond that, the odds get dicey, with George Russell (+2500) being the only other driver with odds below (+10000).

Max Verstappen – best bet

There’s a reason the Red Bull star comes into each race as the heavy favorite; he’s been practically unstoppable in the 2022 F1 season. Verstappen has run away with the lead in the F1 standings and his 13 wins are more than all other drivers combined. No other driver on the circuit has more than three wins (Charles Leclerc). After a surprise loss at the Singapore Grand Prix, Verstappen rebounded last weekend with a win in Austin, Texas at the United States GP.

With 13 wins and 15 podiums, Verstappen is head and shoulders above the rest of his F1 counterparts. The race on Sunday will be his to lose, and he should have no trouble getting the job done for the 14th time this year. At (-175) odds, this is some of the best value Verstappen has had this season. It’s definitely good value for what’s at stake, and there’s reason to believe Verstappen will emerge victorious once again at this year’s Mexican GP.

Verstappen won the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, securing the victory over Lewis Hamilton by more than 16 seconds. The Mexican Grand Prix was not held in 2020 due to COVID-19, but Verstappen will look to make it back-to-back wins on the circuit when he gets behind the wheel on Sunday. He’s won three times in total in Mexico City, having taken the top spot in 2017, 2018, and 2021.

Max VerstappenTO WIN 2022 MEXICAN GP
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Lewis Hamilton – best value

While Max Verstappen is the safest bet to win at the Mexican Grand Prix, if you’re looking for a value pick, you can find that in Mercedes legend Lewis Hamilton. After finishing second in Austin at the United States GP, Hamilton will be looking to secure his first win of the season. The Formula 1 legend has zero wins and seven podiums during the F1 season, and with the schedule well into its second half, he’s running out of time to secure his coveted win.

Hamilton is the only active driver other than Verstappen to have won at the Mexican GP. His success at Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez has seen him win two races at the circuit, which was only re-introduced to the F1 schedule in 2015. The Mexican GP was not held from 1993-2014, but has since returned and been a mainstay in the F1 season.

Hamilton picked up wins in Mexico City in 2016 and 2019. He and Verstappen are the only two drivers to win the event since 2016. Having come within six seconds of edging out Verstappen for a win in the United States GP, Hamilton will have a chip on his shoulder as he looks to drive a perfect race and steal a win away from Red Bull. At (+1200), taking a chance on Hamilton to secure first place would not be a bad call.

Lew HamiltonTO WIN 2022 MEXICAN GP
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The Pick

As fun as it is to imagine the longshot winners stealing the top prize from Verstappen’s grasp, I don’t expect that to happen here. Betting against Verstappen is risky business, and considering his odds are only at (-175), I’d feel comfortable deploying units on the Dutchman once again. Winner of 13 races this year, there’s no driver in F1 who comes close to consistently challenging Verstappen for the top spot, and he should cruise to his second consecutive Mexican Grand Prix victory on Sunday.

While the odds on Lewis Hamilton at (+1200) could be worth a sprinke, taking Max Verstappen to win outright at (-175) is the pick here. The Red Bull driver has done nothing to suggest he won’t be atop the podium when push comes to shove on Sunday, and despite his slip-up in Singapore, I believe he’s fully back on course and ready to continue his reign.

Before diving into the F1 betting action, make sure to check out our top sportsbook reviews to find the best fits for your betting needs.




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Chris Boline

Chris Boline is an avid sports fan and currently works within the sports industry. He has previously written for outlets covering the NBA G League, Los Angeles Chargers, Mountain West Conference football and basketball and has been a writer for over 10 years. Chris is very involved within his local community and spends his free time working with community organizations, sitting on boards, and spending time with friends and family.

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