Pick Real to Dominate in Copa del Rey 2023 Final

  • Real Madrid v Osasuna
  • Saturday May 6, 2023, 14:00 ET
  • At the Estadio de La Cartuja

Real Madrid has not won the Copa del Rey since 2014 but it should be able to dominate Osasuna in the 2023 edition and lift the famous trophy for the 20th time.

Who do Bettors Favor?

It is not a huge surprise to see that the best-rated online sportsbooks are taking no chances when it comes to Real Madrid’s odds for the Copa del Rey. Last year’s La Liga winner is rated as the favorite by bettors and is available between -234 and -280 in the match betting markets. The draw can be wagered at +390 and Osasuna is a big underdog at odds of +650.

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Copa Del Rey Betting Briefing

The Copa del Rey may not quite have the prestige of La Liga or the Champions League these days, but it is one of the world’s oldest soccer competitions and a notable occasion in Spanish sport.

It also offers an opportunity for teams outside the traditional Big Three of Real Madrid, Barcelona and Atletico Madrid to get their hands on high-profile silverware, given the difficulty of maintaining a sustained title challenge in La Liga. Five different teams have won La Liga this century, but over the same period, there have been ten winners of the Copa del Rey and four in the last four seasons.

This is also a game that often bucks the trend of high-profile matches being tight and tense encounters. Of the 22 Copa del Rey finals this century, only six went to extra-time and only one was ended with a penalty shootout. It has also tended to produce goals. A total of 70 goals have been scored in those 22 finals, which works out at around 3.18 per game, much higher than the 2.5 average for La Liga.

Real Hopes to End Copa Drought

Real Madrid has the third-best overall record in the Copa del Rey, with 19 wins from 39 final appearances, but the club is currently enduring a rare drought of Copa success, having not made it to the final since 2014, when it beat Barcelona 2-1.

Since then, Real’s Catalan rival has won it five times and is way out in front in the Copa records, with 31 wins, including seven since 2009.

In addition to bringing an end to a nine-year wait, lifting this trophy would leave alive the possibility of a double of sorts, although not as impressive a double as last year’s, due to Barcelona’s La Liga dominance. Carlo Ancelotti’s team is still in the Champions League, however, and that will take priority over this trophy, though with a top-four spot virtually assured, there is little at stake in the league.

If Real Madrid does lift the trophy this season, it will have earned the honor. It overcame Villarreal in the last 16, Atletico Madrid in the quarter-final and Barcelona at the semi-final stage.

Osasuna Seeking History

Jagoba Arrasate is the second longest-serving manager in La Liga and he has overseen a remarkable period of success for the club. Promoted to La Liga in his first season in charge, he has steered Osasuna to three consecutive top-11 finishes and the team is again on course to finish in the middle of the table.

At one point, Osasuna reached the heady heights of fourth in the table, after winning four of its opening five games, although football gravity has reasserted itself since then. But with a healthy 13-point gap back to the relegation zone, another top-flight campaign seems assured.

Yet Arrasate is targeting something significantly more historic. Its path to the final has not been as difficult as Real’s, but it has not been easy. Real Betis, Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao have all been beaten as Osasuna set up only its second-ever Copa del Rey final appearance.

Copa del Rey Match Betting

Arrasate might have hoped that Real would be competing in both La Liga and the Champions League at this stage, but that is not the case and Ancelotti will be free to pick a stronger lineup here than he would if the club was trying to marshall its resources for the closing stages of three competitions.

In any case, the game plan for Osasuna will be simple: stop Real from scoring and hope for some luck at the other end of the field. Arrasate’s team has managed just 29 goals in 32 league games in La Liga but has conceded only 34. It is very hard to see Osasuna managing to win this in normal time, but can Real? A record of 26 goals scored in its last nine games suggests that Ancelotti’s team is in fine attacking form and Real is the pick in what could be a high-scoring Copa del Rey final.

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Noelle Matthews

Noelle Matthews is a tennis and soccer fan who has been working in the betting industry for over 15 years and has written for some of the big players in the sector, including Betfair, ESPN and Sporting Life. She has an in-depth knowledge of both tennis and soccer betting and you can trust her reviews to include the most precise, knowledgeable information available.