- BetOnline has released odds on which NFL stars will have the most passing, rushing and receiving yards this season
- Patrick Mahomes (+450), Ezekiel Elliott (+300) and Julio Jones (+375) are the favorites in their respective categories
- Deshaun Watson (50-1), Dalvin Cook (25-1) and Odell Beckham Jr. (11-1) are intriguing longshots
After a 2018 campaign that saw 1,371 touchdowns scored (the most for a single season in the NFL’s 99-year history), we can expect more of the same this year with spread concepts, unique formations and play action increasingly en vogue across the league.
Using odds from Bovada, let’s try and find some sneaky longshot bets to lead the NFL in passing, rushing and receiving this year.
NFL Most Regular Season Passing Yards
|Patrick Mahomes (QB Chiefs)||+450|
|Matt Ryan (QB Falcons)||+500|
|Andrew Luck (QB Colts)||+800|
|Aaron Rodgers (QB Packers)||+800|
|Ben Roethlisberger (QB Steelers)||+800|
|Jameis Winston (QB Buccaneers)||+1000|
|Baker Mayfield (QB Browns)||+1400|
|Drew Brees (QB Saints)||+1800|
|Philip Rivers (QB Chargers)||+2000|
|Tom Brady (QB Patriots)||+2500|
Despite becoming the youngest MVP since Dan Marino in 1984, Patrick Mahomes’ 5,097 passing yards didn’t lead the league last year (Big Ben topped him by 32 yards). Also, did you know two-time MVP Aaron Rodgers has never led the NFL in passing, and that Matt Ryan is #1 in passing yardage (18,554) over the past four seasons?
— Around The NFL (@AroundTheNFL) July 14, 2019
While a troubling injury history doesn’t make Carson Wentz a safe bet, the 26-year-old is generating a ton of MVP hype around the league. Available at 40-1, the Eagles’ fourth-year quarterback had eight 300-yard passing games through his first two seasons (only two QBs in history had more).
Another year removed from his knee injury, it’s also not out of the question that Deshaun Watson (50-1) ascends to superstar status.
Best Bet: Deshaun Watson (+5000)
NFL Most Regular Season Rushing Yards
|Ezekiel Elliott (RB Cowboys)||+300|
|Saquon Barkley (RB Giants)||+450|
|Todd Gurley (RB Rams)||+1400|
|Derrick Henry (RB Titans)||+1400|
|Le’Veon Bell (RB Jets)||+1600|
|Nick Chubb (RB Browns)||+1800|
|Melvin Gordon (RB Chargers)||+2000|
|Joe Mixon (RB Bengals)||+2000|
|Dalvin Cook (RB Vikings)||+2500|
|Leonard Fournette (RB Jaguars)||+2500|
The Running Backs
Ezekiel Elliott has been the NFL’s rushing champ two out of his three seasons, and he missed six games due to a suspension in the year he didn’t win. Saquon Barkley finished second to Zeke as a rookie and will continue to be fed the rock in a talentless offense behind an improved offensive line.
— FantasyPros (@FantasyProsNFL) February 20, 2019
There are 24 reasons why Browns bruiser Nick Chubb is a strong buy at 18-1, but I’ll instead back the Vikings’ Dalvin Cook (25-1). Fully recovered from the ACL injury that ended his rookie year, the shifty third-year RB will be the bell cow in Gary Kubiak’s legendary zone-blocking scheme.
Best Bet: Dalvin Cook (+2500)
NFL Most Regular Season Receiving Yards
|Julio Jones (WR Falcons)||+375|
|DeAndre Hopkins (WR Texans)||+650|
|Michael Thomas (WR Saints)||+950|
|Odell Beckham Jr. (WR Browns)||+1100|
|Mike Evans (WR Buccaneers)||+1400|
|JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR Steelers)||+1500|
|Antonio Brown (WR Raiders)||+1800|
|Adam Thielen (WR Vikings)||+1800|
|T.Y. Hilton (WR Colts)||+1800|
|Tyreek Hill (WR Chiefs)||+1800|
The Wide Receivers
Julio Jones’ 1,677 receiving yards led the league last year and he’s finished top-three in the category in each of the past five seasons. The only offensive player in Madden 20 to get a 99 rating, DeAndre Hopkins will again be a target hog.
JuJu Smith-Schuster (15-1) was fourth in the NFL in targets (166) in 2018, and that was with Antonio Brown. With no guarantee that he will face any kind of suspension at all, Tyreek Hill (18-1) also has to be heavily considered.
— For The Win (@ForTheWin) July 12, 2019
Still, the fact that Odell Beckham Jr. is upgrading from Eli Manning to Baker Mayfield makes him a screaming value at 11/1. Since entering the league in 2014, Beckham is third in yards per game (92.8) and he’s going from one of the worst deep ball throwers on the planet to one of the best.
Best Bet: Odell Beckham Jr. (+1100)